Leading-Substitution 0x0c15…9a45

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xe34b…3b60(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

40.8

Win Rate

52.6%

PnL 90d

−$123K

Avg CLV

+0.4¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value51 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)22 × 25%

Win Rate50 × 15%

Sizing Discipline22 × 15%

Longevity / Activity67 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 19 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$123K

Capital Deployed

$13K

Resolved

Win Rate

52.6%

Excess Win

-6.7

Avg Entry

59¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$640 — Spread: Steelers (-3.5)Worst: −$746 — Spread: Ravens (-3.5)

Open Positions

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm19¢ → 20¢$8.6K+$222

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No52¢ → 53¢$324+$0

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes95¢ → 96¢$233+$3

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No93¢ → 99¢$197+$12

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes67¢ → 77¢$163+$20

Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?No68¢ → 68¢$155−$2

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No37¢ → 56¢$145+$48

Las Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over50¢ → 53¢$135+$6

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes21¢ → 16¢$128−$37

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes50¢ → 48¢$83−$5

Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?No69¢ → 92¢$80+$19

Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Yes71¢ → 68¢$41−$2

Washington Mystics vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky47¢ → 48¢$38+$0

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes29¢ → 74¢$10+$6

Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026?Yes7¢ → 6¢$9−$2

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Yes60¢ → 61¢$6+$0

Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?No61¢ → 61¢$1−$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$12m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$5383m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$4053m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$933m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$7948m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$148m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$228m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$1,3888m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$18m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$1011m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$411m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$2216m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$2624m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$124m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$025m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$125m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$3,47725m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$22825m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle StormSeattle Storm@ 19¢$1,39925m ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over@ 50¢$611h ago

BUYLas Vegas Aces vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5Over@ 50¢$12415h ago

BUYWashington Mystics vs. Chicago SkyChicago Sky@ 47¢$3823h ago

BUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes@ 53¢$121d ago

BUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes@ 53¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$161d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$461d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$91d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$141d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$141d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$71d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$31d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$291d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$211d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$91d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$121d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$21d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$11d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$71d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$921d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$1281d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 89¢$2251d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 89¢$21d ago