Careful-Bunch 0x122c…fbed

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xc417…9db1(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

51.8

Win Rate

40.0%

PnL 90d

+$212K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)63 × 25%

Win Rate56 × 15%

Sizing Discipline38 × 15%

Longevity / Activity47 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 5 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$212K

Capital Deployed

$54.1K

Resolved

Win Rate

40.0%

Excess Win

-25.1

Avg Entry

65¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$370 — Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Worst: −$202 — Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17?

Open Positions

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?Yes98¢ → 80¢$2.7K−$606

Will the Republican Party win the NC-06 House seat?Yes89¢ → 92¢$1.8K+$50

Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No87¢ → 88¢$1.8K+$20

Will Caleb Williams win the 2026 NFL MVP?No85¢ → 86¢$1.7K+$30

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No79¢ → 80¢$1.6K+$16

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?No@ 76¢$853s ago

SELLWill the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 84¢$251m ago

SELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes@ 62¢$1192m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?No@ 52¢$53m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?No@ 51¢$13m ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?Yes@ 7¢$64m ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 8¢$124m ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$164m ago

SELLWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 62¢$116m ago

SELLWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 62¢$98m ago

SELLWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 62¢$229m ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 8¢$29m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 41¢$4410m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 41¢$10311m ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 61¢$1,21611m ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$512m ago

SELLWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 18?No@ 95¢$518m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on September 17?No@ 95¢$1019m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on September 17?No@ 57¢$324m ago

BUYSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?No@ 67¢$2028m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 18?Yes@ 19¢$1130m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 18?No@ 67¢$333m ago

SELLWill Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?No@ 49¢$2234m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18?No@ 59¢$334m ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Yes@ 33¢$3337m ago

SELLWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No@ 69¢$738m ago

SELLWill Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes@ 83¢$639m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 18?No@ 30¢$7839m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?Yes@ 65¢$1040m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 18?Yes@ 61¢$15641m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18?Yes@ 3¢$042m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 18?Yes@ 2¢$143m ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 75¢$10745m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 18?Yes@ 69¢$19346m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 18?No@ 84¢$6346m ago

SELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 18?No@ 96¢$447m ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 62¢$16748m ago

SELLWill Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No@ 84¢$7449m ago

SELLWill Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No@ 84¢$2349m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?No@ 2¢$149m ago

SELLWill New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No@ 80¢$12049m ago

SELLWill Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?No@ 85¢$8549m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on September 17?No@ 4¢$050m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?No@ 74¢$1651m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?No@ 7¢$053m ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$453m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?No@ 11¢$154m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?No@ 13¢$854m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 17?No@ 77¢$559m ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17?No@ 11¢$01h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$21h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$61h ago

BUYWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Yes@ 76¢$281h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 15¢$21h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?Yes@ 12¢$31h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 17?No@ 88¢$91h ago

BUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 3¢$11h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?No@ 44¢$01h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes@ 87¢$21h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes@ 87¢$161h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes@ 87¢$21h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes@ 87¢$181h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?Yes@ 87¢$201h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Yes@ 33¢$181h ago

SELLSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?Yes@ 34¢$341h ago

BUYWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 45 and 50 million views in week 1?Yes@ 75¢$731h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?No@ 86¢$391h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 36¢$31h ago

SELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes@ 61¢$1831h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 17?No@ 32¢$31h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$121h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$111h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$41h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17?No@ 67¢$51h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 8¢$21h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 18?No@ 82¢$111h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?No@ 83¢$81h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 17?No@ 9¢$01h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 60¢$961h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 60¢$721h ago

SELLWill Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?No@ 18¢$41h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 22¢$21h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 22¢$301h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 21¢$2941h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 17?Yes@ 6¢$11h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 80¢$71h ago

SELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 10¢$71h ago

SELLNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?No@ 87¢$01h ago

SELLNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?No@ 87¢$71h ago

SELLWill Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 65¢$131h ago

SELLWill Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 50¢$101h ago

SELLNo change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the September 2026 meeting?No@ 87¢$171h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 18?Yes@ 18¢$11h ago

BUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?No@ 15¢$11h ago

SELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 18?Yes@ 85¢$91h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17?Yes@ 75¢$61h ago

SELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on September 18?Yes@ 1¢$01h ago

SELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 2¢$11h ago

SELLWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$01h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$31h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

40Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 93¢$1,4013d ago

26Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 94¢$5943d ago

40Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 96¢$1,91815d ago

44Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 80¢$1,59525d ago

39Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 80¢$1,60029d ago

Not investment advice.