longdated-poli 0x167a…91d5

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x1440…3f9e

Sharp Score

47.3

Win Rate

0.0%

PnL 90d

−$36.2K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)42 × 25%

Win Rate50 × 15%

Sizing Discipline43 × 15%

Longevity / Activity54 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 4 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$36.2K

Capital Deployed

$57.9K

Resolved

Win Rate

0.0%

Excess Win

-31.2

Avg Entry

31¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$7 — Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Worst: −$98 — Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Open Positions

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?No93¢ → 71¢$918−$282

Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Yes92¢ → 86¢$735−$53

Will Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No89¢ → 84¢$731−$40

Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?No89¢ → 79¢$692−$85

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?No91¢ → 82¢$535−$65

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes@ 10¢$332m ago

BUYWill OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T?Yes@ 10¢$332m ago

SELLWill Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?No@ 75¢$41h ago

BUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No@ 4¢$11h ago

SELLWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No@ 94¢$191h ago

BUYWill US unemployment reach at least 7.0% in 2026?No@ 95¢$191h ago

BUYTread FDV above $500M one day after launchYes@ 0¢$91h ago

SELLWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 2¢$21h ago

BUYTread FDV above $400M one day after launchYes@ 0¢$01h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

23Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 90¢$58845d ago

Not investment advice.