0x2106…4dea

View on Polymarket ↗

Sharp Score

50.8

Win Rate

33.3%

PnL 90d

+$177K

Avg CLV

+6.7¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value53 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)58 × 25%

Win Rate47 × 15%

Sizing Discipline42 × 15%

Longevity / Activity44 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 3 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$178K

Capital Deployed

$327K

Resolved

Win Rate

50.0%

Excess Win

-0.7

Avg Entry

51¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$58.2K — Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Worst: −$5K — Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Open Positions

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No50¢ → 80¢$15.2K+$5.7K

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes50¢ → 20¢$3.8K−$5.7K

Will Karim Bouamrane win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$341−$395

Will Lucie Castets win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$180−$664

Will Marion Maréchal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$175−$667

Will Charlotte Hornets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 1¢$148−$401

Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0¢ → 0¢$123−$188

Will Yannick Jadot win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$106−$404

Will Memphis Grizzlies win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 0¢$92−$477

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$75−$1.5K

Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$74−$91

Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 0¢$74−$513

Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 0¢$62−$625

Will Michel Barnier win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$57−$121

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0¢ → 0¢$51−$32

Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$49−$139

Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 0¢$48−$483

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$47−$914

Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$42−$151

Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$41−$109

Will Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes1¢ → 0¢$39−$136

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$28−$1.5K

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$28−$1.7K

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes0¢ → 0¢$26−$52

Will Marcus Thuram be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes1¢ → 0¢$21−$512

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$024s ago

SELLWill Bryce Harper lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Yes@ 0¢$047s ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$054s ago

SELLWill Rhys Hoskins lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Yes@ 0¢$056s ago

SELLWill CJ Abrams lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Yes@ 0¢$01m ago

SELLWill Pete Crow-Armstrong lead the MLB in doubles for the 2026 regular season?Yes@ 0¢$01m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$04m ago

SELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$04m ago

SELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$05m ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$05m ago

SELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$05m ago

SELLWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$06m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$07m ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$07m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$07m ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$07m ago

SELLWill Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$07m ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$08m ago

SELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 0¢$08m ago

SELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$08m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$08m ago

SELLWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Yes@ 7¢$49m ago

SELLWill the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series?Yes@ 7¢$69m ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$09m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$09m ago

SELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$09m ago

SELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$010m ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$011m ago

SELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$011m ago

SELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$011m ago

SELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$014m ago

SELLWill the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yes@ 3¢$2514m ago

SELLWill the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?Yes@ 3¢$1114m ago

SELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$014m ago

SELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$015m ago

SELLWill Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$1317m ago

SELLWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$118m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$018m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$020m ago

SELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$023m ago

BUYWill Inter Miami CF win the 2026 MLS Cup?No@ 69¢$66724m ago

SELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 0¢$024m ago

SELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$025m ago

SELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$026m ago

SELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$326m ago

SELLWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$126m ago

SELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$526m ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$029m ago

SELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$034m ago

SELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$034m ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$034m ago

SELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$034m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$036m ago

SELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$040m ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$040m ago

SELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$040m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$040m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$041m ago

SELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$044m ago

SELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$047m ago

BUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?No@ 58¢$58048m ago

BUYWill Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$449m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$049m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$050m ago

SELLWill Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$050m ago

SELLWill François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$051m ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$051m ago

SELLWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes@ 0¢$052m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$053m ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$054m ago

SELLWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$055m ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$056m ago

SELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$056m ago

SELLWill Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$057m ago

SELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$059m ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 0¢$11h ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Ségolène Royal win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes@ 0¢$81h ago

SELLWill Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Élisabeth Borne win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

BUYWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?No@ 73¢$1071h ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

SELLWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 2¢$501h ago

SELLWill David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 2¢$301h ago

SELLWill Jean Castex win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$01h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

46Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 84¢$1,68010h ago

25Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NO @ 73¢$68418h ago

Not investment advice.