flawfence 0x23d8…0288

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xc4fd…fe19(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

49.3

Win Rate

14.3%

PnL 90d

+$149K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)74 × 25%

Win Rate30 × 15%

Sizing Discipline26 × 15%

Longevity / Activity49 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 14 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$149K

Capital Deployed

$4.7M

Resolved

Win Rate

14.3%

Excess Win

-28.3

Avg Entry

43¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$64K — Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-08?Worst: −$9K — LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?

Open Positions

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No70¢ → 70¢$81.4K−$81

Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes98¢ → 99¢$76.6K+$774

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes49¢ → 45¢$67.1K−$6.6K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes26¢ → 55¢$61.7K+$33.2K

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No82¢ → 86¢$57.2K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 90¢$1,80013m ago

BUYWill SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 90¢$31h ago

BUYWill SPD win at least 31% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 90¢$3481h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$7981h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$381h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$261h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 28¢$1,6801h ago

BUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 10¢$52h ago

BUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 10¢$02h ago

BUYWill Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 10¢$202h ago

BUYWill the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes@ 3¢$3742h ago

BUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No@ 60¢$292h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 59¢$192h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 59¢$2602h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 59¢$43h ago

BUYWill the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes@ 3¢$33h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 59¢$33h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 59¢$9074h ago

BUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No@ 60¢$154h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$44h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 59¢$535h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 59¢$2485h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$8,0436h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$1267h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$117h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$167h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$67h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$27h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$577h ago

BUYWill Grüne win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Yes@ 21¢$67h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$18h ago

BUYWill Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No@ 60¢$178h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$6308h ago

BUYWill the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes@ 3¢$3029h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$211h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$21011h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 28¢$4511h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$4712h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$1612h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$312h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$112h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$3,09212h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$913h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$1313h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$313h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$1313h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 63¢$7,85913h ago

BUYWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$29313h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$25714h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$96714h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$45315h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$015h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$20016h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$216h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$2516h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$1316h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$5016h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$517h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$2617h ago

SELLWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 25¢$117h ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$65620h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$3,3051d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$551d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$2001d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$7131d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$191d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$81d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$1521d ago

BUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 53¢$1351d ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 63¢$9491d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No@ 54¢$3781d ago

BUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 53¢$501d ago

BUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 53¢$2801d ago

BUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 53¢$1,1051d ago

SELLWill United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes@ 99¢$60,7771d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$71d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$6461d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 58¢$251d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 58¢$281d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 57¢$1671d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 58¢$31d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 58¢$61d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 58¢$171d ago

BUYWill the opposition parties win by 3–4 seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes@ 52¢$1181d ago

BUYWill Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 53¢$41d ago

BUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No@ 69¢$10,3501d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$801d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$61d ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 44¢$2,7831d ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 44¢$441d ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 44¢$111d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 38¢$11d ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 44¢$71d ago

BUYWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 89¢$6,3441d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

32Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship?YES @ 3¢$9103d ago

34Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 83¢$6148d ago

26Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 40¢$57220d ago

27Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 40¢$64920d ago

26Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 40¢$60220d ago

26Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 40¢$56020d ago

32Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 40¢$88520d ago

44Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 56¢$6,02920d ago

45Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 52¢$52,00021d ago

Not investment advice.