aviato 0x2a01…6397

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xe780…e245via Binance

Sharp Score

56.7

Win Rate

96.4%

PnL 90d

+$42.3K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)85 × 25%

Win Rate51 × 15%

Sizing Discipline8 × 15%

Longevity / Activity92 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 83 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$42.3K

Capital Deployed

$536K

Resolved

Win Rate

96.4%

Excess Win

+7.3

Avg Entry

89¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$28.6K — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Worst: −$6.7K — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes91¢ → 98¢$16.7K+$1.1K

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No84¢ → 92¢$16.5K+$1.5K

Yoon out of custody before 2027?No83¢ → 93¢$13.3K+$1.5K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No89¢ → 96¢$11.6K+$877

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No92¢ → 97¢$10K+$567

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes@ 3¢$051m ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes@ 3¢$353m ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$1,9061h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$23h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$124h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$464h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$304h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$494h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$464h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 93¢$934h ago

BUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$804h ago

SELLWill "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No@ 88¢$2389h ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 97¢$110h ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 97¢$4210h ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 97¢$40110h ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$29515h ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$215h ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$66415h ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 97¢$1017h ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 97¢$20717h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 92¢$4621h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 94¢$26422h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?No@ 94¢$1622h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes@ 99¢$5022h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Yes@ 99¢$34122h ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$9921d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 88¢$8801d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$1,9841d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 12¢$1201d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 11¢$2201d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$9921d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$1,9841d ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$1,9161d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$3,9681d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 13¢$2601d ago

BUYWill Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison?No@ 90¢$1031d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 87¢$8701d ago

BUYWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?No@ 91¢$2731d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 12¢$501d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 12¢$81d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 12¢$621d ago

BUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No@ 97¢$9681d ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?No@ 4¢$11d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?No@ 3¢$11d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?No@ 3¢$01d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$362d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$102d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$42d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$82d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$12d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$102d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 14¢$712d ago

BUYWill "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?No@ 93¢$1152d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 87¢$8702d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$1,9782d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?Yes@ 2¢$22d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$3,9602d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 94¢$1162d ago

SELLZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No@ 93¢$1423d ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No@ 93¢$93d ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No@ 93¢$1053d ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026?No@ 93¢$143d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$1,9843d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$2,9763d ago

SELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$6,4523d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$293d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$203d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$13d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$73d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$23d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$103d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$203d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$83d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$1043d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 79¢$7903d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$2,9793d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$573d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$593d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$613d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$623d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$633d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$4633d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$653d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$663d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$2973d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$683d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$3783d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$693d ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 95¢$1983d ago

BUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No@ 92¢$493d ago

BUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No@ 92¢$1153d ago

BUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No@ 92¢$2763d ago

BUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No@ 92¢$1353d ago

BUYWill AI be charged with a crime before 2027?No@ 89¢$423d ago

SELLWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$554d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

43UFC Fight Night: Kai Asakura vs. Aoriqileng (Bantamweight, Main Card)KAI ASAKURA @ 100¢$4,78219d ago

36O/U 0.5 RoundsOVER @ 100¢$1,32119d ago

35O/U 0.5 RoundsOVER @ 100¢$1,21019d ago

44UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)MACKENZIE DERN @ 100¢$4,99532d ago

31UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)MACKENZIE DERN @ 98¢$98332d ago

24UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)MACKENZIE DERN @ 97¢$58232d ago

41UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)MACKENZIE DERN @ 98¢$2,50332d ago

41UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)MACKENZIE DERN @ 99¢$2,52832d ago

38Fight to Go the Distance?NO @ 99¢$1,98032d ago

40UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)CHIDI NJOKUANI @ 99¢$2,97032d ago

31UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)DRICUS DU PLESSIS @ 95¢$88560d ago

32UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)DRICUS DU PLESSIS @ 97¢$97060d ago

32UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)DRICUS DU PLESSIS @ 95¢$93860d ago

30UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)DRICUS DU PLESSIS @ 90¢$88060d ago

33UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)DRICUS DU PLESSIS @ 90¢$90060d ago

Not investment advice.