JonTay 0x2b77…9ec3

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xc417…9db1(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

37.1

Win Rate

48.9%

PnL 90d

−$40.4K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)20 × 25%

Win Rate44 × 15%

Sizing Discipline13 × 15%

Longevity / Activity62 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 45 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$40.4K

Capital Deployed

$203K

Resolved

Win Rate

48.9%

Excess Win

-4.0

Avg Entry

53¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$5.4K — Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Worst: −$33.9K — Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)

Open Positions

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No17¢ → 17¢$1.5K−$41

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes4¢ → 4¢$195−$44

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes@ 5¢$101d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 85¢$8501d ago

SELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 13¢$241d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 11¢$101d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 12¢$21d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 87¢$641d ago

SELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 13¢$241d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 87¢$341d ago

SELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 12¢$11d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$11d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 87¢$2231d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 87¢$641d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 87¢$21d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 11¢$221d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$01d ago

SELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 89¢$5681d ago

SELLWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 12¢$241d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$11d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$21d ago

SELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 89¢$1051d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 42¢$1,3751d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 33¢$2741d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 38¢$4,3611d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 3¢$11d ago

BUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes@ 4¢$01d ago

BUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes@ 4¢$21d ago

BUYWill no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 3¢$11d ago

SELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 89¢$1501d ago

SELLFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 89¢$461d ago

BUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes@ 5¢$31d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

38Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado RockiesBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 39¢$3,99914d ago

30Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado RockiesBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 37¢$1,58714d ago

45Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red SoxBOSTON RED SOX @ 63¢$3,92614d ago

42San Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSAN DIEGO PADRES @ 41¢$2,05015d ago

Not investment advice.