cowcat 0x38e5…95e7

FADE 30View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x5d9f…72a5

Sharp Score

29.8

Win Rate

35.0%

PnL 90d

−$120K

Avg CLV

-2.5¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value45 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)8 × 25%

Win Rate36 × 15%

Sizing Discipline8 × 15%

Longevity / Activity56 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 80 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$120K

Capital Deployed

$471K

Resolved

Win Rate

35.0%

Excess Win

-11.6

Avg Entry

47¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$297 — Will “Widow’s Bay” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Worst: −$254 — Will “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding limited or anthology series?

Open Positions

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes39¢ → 56¢$19K+$5.6K

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No53¢ → 72¢$9.4K+$2.4K

Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No77¢ → 78¢$7.8K+$50

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes11¢ → 36¢$7.4K+$5.1K

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes17¢ → 11¢$5.7K−$3.4K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$6096h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$28h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$38h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$29h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$409h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$249h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$310h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$710h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$111h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$211h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$111h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$1512h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$213h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$6613h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$213h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$1213h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$2813h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$3313h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$114h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$214h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$215h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$1,13715h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes@ 1¢$215h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes@ 1¢$015h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 77¢$7,70016h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes@ 51¢$61d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes@ 51¢$11d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes@ 51¢$3101d ago

BUYWill the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?Yes@ 5¢$251d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes@ 6¢$131d ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 24¢$1,3432d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Yes@ 49¢$3,4302d ago

SELLWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 67¢$6,6062d ago

BUYWill “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes@ 0¢$03d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 47¢$4703d ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?Yes@ 7¢$23d ago

BUYNorth Dakota State vs. Air ForceNorth Dakota State@ 97¢$3,4444d ago

BUYNorth Dakota State vs. Air ForceNorth Dakota State@ 97¢$1694d ago

BUYNorth Dakota State vs. Air ForceNorth Dakota State@ 97¢$1214d ago

BUYNorth Dakota State vs. Air ForceNorth Dakota State@ 97¢$1624d ago

BUYWill Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No@ 77¢$1,4304d ago

BUYWill Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Yes@ 40¢$2085d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$5986d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$56d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$26d ago

BUYWill Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes@ 60¢$246d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$146d ago

BUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30?Yes@ 81¢$486d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$2166d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$326d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$3606d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$16d ago

BUYChicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersChicago Cubs@ 94¢$9408d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers@ 98¢$109d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers@ 98¢$3699d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers@ 98¢$2,1369d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLos Angeles Dodgers@ 96¢$109d ago

BUYUS Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff@ 90¢$2,3669d ago

BUYUS Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff@ 90¢$2709d ago

BUYUS Open WTA: Iva Jovic vs Coco GauffCoco Gauff@ 90¢$1,8649d ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 10¢$6269d ago

BUYWill Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?No@ 79¢$679d ago

BUYWill “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes@ 0¢$010d ago

BUYWill Claire Danes – “The Beast In Me” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?No@ 94¢$1910d ago

BUYWill “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes@ 0¢$010d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$811d ago

BUYWill “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes@ 0¢$011d ago

SELLBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?No@ 72¢$20412d ago

BUYWill Melissa Bailey be the Republican Nominee for NH-01?Yes@ 0¢$013d ago

BUYWill “Nobody Wants This” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series?Yes@ 0¢$014d ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?Yes@ 9¢$7714d ago

BUYWill Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 0¢$814d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

22Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee BrewersCHICAGO CUBS @ 94¢$9408d ago

29Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 98¢$2,1369d ago

47Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles AngelsLOS ANGELES ANGELS @ 87¢$10,440Outlier size19d ago

67Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksCHICAGO CUBS @ 86¢$19,853Fresh walletOutlier size22d ago

40Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksCHICAGO CUBS @ 87¢$2,45722d ago

41Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksCHICAGO CUBS @ 87¢$3,48022d ago

31Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksCHICAGO CUBS @ 87¢$93722d ago

Not investment advice.