Rundown-Regard 0x39aa…583c

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xf70d…dbef

Sharp Score

42.6

Win Rate

48.5%

PnL 90d

+$18.5K

Avg CLV

-6.1¢

Resolved Trades

196

Why this score

Closing Line Value36 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)80 × 25%

Win Rate45 × 15%

Sizing Discipline4 × 15%

Longevity / Activity28 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 196 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$18.5K

Capital Deployed

$49.9K

Resolved

196

Win Rate

48.5%

Excess Win

+3.1

Avg Entry

45¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$3.2K — Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Worst: −$3.5K — Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?

Open Positions

Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Yes97¢ → 98¢$3.1K+$42

Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No87¢ → 98¢$2.4K+$254

Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No53¢ → 60¢$1.1K+$113

Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes68¢ → 94¢$872+$239

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes8¢ → 89¢$767

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$1218h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo@ 70¢$2118h ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes@ 88¢$2618h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 11¢$019h ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No@ 88¢$319h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 59¢$219h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$119h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 59¢$219h ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No@ 88¢$419h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 11¢$019h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$219h ago

BUYWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$1819h ago

BUYWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?No@ 95¢$46119h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo@ 70¢$720h ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes@ 88¢$820h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 40¢$420h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 42¢$181d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseNo@ 68¢$291d ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No@ 87¢$371d ago

BUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?No@ 14¢$351d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 84¢$2101d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No@ 12¢$11d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 86¢$41d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 86¢$1721d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No@ 12¢$241d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 86¢$61d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 11¢$11d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 86¢$1721d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 11¢$221d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$01d ago

BUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?Yes@ 86¢$431d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No@ 12¢$61d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No@ 12¢$241d ago

BUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?Yes@ 86¢$1721d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?No@ 14¢$251d ago

BUYAnthropic IPO before 2027?Yes@ 85¢$1501d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 11¢$22d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 46¢$92d ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes@ 87¢$172d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 54¢$112d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 46¢$332d ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?Yes@ 87¢$622d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 54¢$392d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 11¢$82d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 11¢$102d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 54¢$482d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 46¢$412d ago

BUYWill there be another US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?No@ 86¢$772d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 54¢$3042d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes@ 32¢$1802d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 12¢$672d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsAurora Gaming@ 46¢$352d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsMIBR@ 32¢$322d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsAurora Gaming@ 46¢$92d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsAurora Gaming@ 46¢$22d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries PlayoffsAurora Gaming@ 46¢$462d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 89¢$42d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?No@ 9¢$02d ago

BUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?No@ 100¢$52d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 9¢$182d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 88¢$1762d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$22d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 88¢$42d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 9¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 9¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$02d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 88¢$42d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes@ 32¢$1282d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 13¢$522d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 53¢$2122d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseNo@ 99¢$3972d ago

BUYWill SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No@ 53¢$2123d ago

BUYJack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes@ 51¢$2043d ago

BUYFed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$03d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 17¢$73d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 99¢$423d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes@ 83¢$353d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 82¢$343d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 16¢$73d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 14?Yes@ 26¢$133d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14?Yes@ 71¢$353d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 14?No@ 29¢$143d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 14?No@ 2¢$13d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14?No@ 99¢$493d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?No@ 98¢$133d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?Yes@ 43¢$53d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 14?No@ 56¢$73d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 14?Yes@ 64¢$83d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 14?No@ 97¢$123d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 14?No@ 40¢$53d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 14?Yes@ 68¢$73d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 14?No@ 98¢$493d ago

BUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 14?No@ 33¢$173d ago

BUYWill the price of Solana be above $100 on September 15?Yes@ 71¢$53d ago

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Prints on Our Tape

35Athletics vs. Texas RangersTEXAS RANGERS @ 84¢$1,08115d ago

Not investment advice.