thoodr 0x3eae…e2ed

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xc417…9db1(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

56.2

Win Rate

100.0%

PnL 90d

+$69.9K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)81 × 25%

Win Rate60 × 15%

Sizing Discipline16 × 15%

Longevity / Activity69 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 32 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$69.9K

Capital Deployed

$1.8M

Resolved

Win Rate

100.0%

Excess Win

+5.1

Avg Entry

95¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$2.5K — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Worst: −$554 — Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Open Positions

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No88¢ → 96¢$201K+$15.9K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No97¢ → 99¢$93.9K+$1.8K

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No98¢ → 99¢$70.1K+$707

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?Yes92¢ → 97¢$66.8K+$3.5K

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No82¢ → 84¢$65.1K+$1.3K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$1,5012h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$943h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$63h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$194h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$3185h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$2,5055h ago

BUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes@ 92¢$265h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$946h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$1576h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$76h ago

BUYAnthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?Anthropic@ 89¢$4,4506h ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$3458h ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1,0608h ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1810h ago

BUYWill Alexander Zverev be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsNo@ 60¢$16812h ago

BUYWill the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?No@ 91¢$91019h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the MA-02 House seat?No@ 96¢$1,92019h ago

BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No@ 99¢$4,94519h ago

BUYWill Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No@ 89¢$49219h ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No@ 97¢$1,93819h ago

BUYWill Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No@ 90¢$90019h ago

BUYWill ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No@ 93¢$93019h ago

BUYWill Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?No@ 92¢$64419h ago

BUYWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsYes@ 60¢$12020h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 82¢$24620h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?No@ 99¢$25020h ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$4,37520h ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$21020h ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$22520h ago

BUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?No@ 92¢$9220h ago

BUYWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes@ 94¢$28220h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 95¢$2,37520h ago

BUYLee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No@ 92¢$1,93620h ago

BUYYoon out of custody before 2027?No@ 93¢$1,16620h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-06 House seat?Yes@ 96¢$96020h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No@ 95¢$4,75020h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 86¢$86020h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 93¢$83720h ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$1,92620h ago

BUYIran leadership change by September 30?No@ 98¢$4,23020h ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 89¢$62320h ago

BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No@ 99¢$5,44520h ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$361d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$5001d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$301d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$751d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$411d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1741d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$621d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$761d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$411d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$551d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1411d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$481d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$771d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$291d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$631d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1201d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$561d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$731d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1121d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$351d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$401d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$701d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$311d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$2301d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$7751d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1721d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$71d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1881d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$931d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$3311d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$41d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$3671d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1711d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1841d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 100¢$9,4911d ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No@ 94¢$2,8201d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No@ 100¢$1731d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 93¢$1,7331d ago

SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No@ 100¢$9,1911d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 86¢$1,7201d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$4,7301d ago

BUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 94¢$1,8801d ago

BUYWill United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 96¢$1,9401d ago

BUYWill Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 96¢$2,8801d ago

BUYWill Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 93¢$4531d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$1,1481d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$1,4101d ago

BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No@ 99¢$4,3231d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$19,4611d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 100¢$6,8862d ago

BUYIran leadership change by September 30?No@ 98¢$2,7432d ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 89¢$1,7742d ago

BUYWill Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 98¢$4,9052d ago

BUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No@ 99¢$7,0573d ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 89¢$8923d ago

SELLNicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No@ 94¢$105d ago

SELLTrump out as President before 2027?No@ 95¢$7635d ago

SELLTrump out as President before 2027?No@ 95¢$25d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

39Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 97¢$1,94629d ago

Not investment advice.