0x42c7…c415

View on Polymarket ↗

Sharp Score

41.6

Win Rate

55.1%

PnL 90d

−$2.1K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

216

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)38 × 25%

Win Rate49 × 15%

Sizing Discipline3 × 15%

Longevity / Activity67 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 216 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$2.1K

Capital Deployed

$675

Resolved

216

Win Rate

55.1%

Excess Win

-4.8

Avg Entry

60¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$23 — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Worst: −$55 — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?No44¢ → 35¢$8−$2

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495?Yes38¢ → 60¢$7+$3

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?No52¢ → 54¢$2+$0

Chattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5Under23¢ → 40¢$2+$1

Will Eliseo Fernández Montúfar win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes7¢ → 6¢$2−$0

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?No33¢ → 41¢$1+$0

Will Andrés Mijes Llovera win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election?Yes9¢ → 5¢$1−$1

FK Auda Riga vs. Ogre United: FK Auda Riga O/U 2.5Under50¢ → 50¢$1+$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLGame 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even@ 1¢$04d ago

SELLWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes@ 4¢$45d ago

SELLChattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: Chattanooga Red Wolves SC O/U 1.5Over@ 1¢$06d ago

SELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$08d ago

SELLChattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 1.5Under@ 10¢$08d ago

SELLChattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 2.5Under@ 10¢$19d ago

SELLWill Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $45B by December 31?Yes@ 22¢$19d ago

SELLWill AfD win 26-28 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes@ 8¢$09d ago

SELLNext Token Sale on Coinbase by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 2¢$09d ago

SELLWill "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?No@ 66¢$19d ago

SELLWill Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be at least 1.3%?No@ 81¢$19d ago

SELLWill Independiente Medellín win on 2026-08-11?No@ 60¢$29d ago

SELLWill Real Cartagena FC win on 2026-08-11?No@ 1¢$09d ago

SELLChattanooga Red Wolves SC vs. Spokane Velocity FC: O/U 2.5Over@ 2¢$09d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 10¢$09d ago

SELLWill Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes@ 6¢$110d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 9¢$010d ago

SELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500?No@ 40¢$810d ago

SELLWill the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?No@ 13¢$710d ago

SELLWill Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?No@ 28¢$210d ago

SELLWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes@ 8¢$120d ago

SELLWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?No@ 95¢$626d ago

SELLWill Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 4¢$126d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 11¢$026d ago

SELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $35B by August 31?Yes@ 18¢$126d ago

SELLWill Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No@ 95¢$326d ago

SELLWill the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?No@ 90¢$226d ago

SELLWill Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 11¢$126d ago

SELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August?Yes@ 0¢$026d ago

SELLWill Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by December 31?Yes@ 32¢$326d ago

SELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?Yes@ 2¢$126d ago

SELLWill Russia capture Vodianske by December 31?No@ 47¢$826d ago

SELLWill Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No@ 59¢$126d ago

SELLWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No@ 68¢$126d ago

SELLWill Los Angeles FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?No@ 90¢$226d ago

SELLWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?No@ 64¢$026d ago

SELLWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 700m and 800m by August 31?No@ 100¢$226d ago

SELLWill the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes@ 11¢$126d ago

SELLWill Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?No@ 59¢$126d ago

SELLWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.45 and $0.50 on August 31, 2026?Yes@ 51¢$326d ago

SELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No@ 74¢$126d ago

SELLWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 51¢$526d ago

SELLOutstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?Yes@ 46¢$1226d ago

SELLWill the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?No@ 80¢$226d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No@ 45¢$126d ago

SELLWill FK Chornomorets Odesa win on 2026-08-08?Yes@ 14¢$026d ago

SELLIran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Yes@ 24¢$1026d ago

SELLWill Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?No@ 93¢$526d ago

SELLWill My Alnebratt be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västra Götaland?Yes@ 73¢$326d ago

SELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No@ 36¢$426d ago

SELLWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No@ 85¢$426d ago

SELLWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes@ 39¢$126d ago

SELLWill the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?Yes@ 53¢$1726d ago

SELLWill Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?No@ 70¢$226d ago

SELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No@ 78¢$326d ago

SELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?No@ 52¢$226d ago

SELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes@ 47¢$726d ago

SELLWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by less than 5%?No@ 100¢$226d ago

SELLWill Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?No@ 54¢$226d ago

SELLWill Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election?Yes@ 39¢$326d ago

SELLWill Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No@ 54¢$126d ago

SELLWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 15–20%?No@ 96¢$226d ago

SELLWill Ariana Grande's monthly listeners figure hit 105m by August 31?No@ 94¢$226d ago

SELLWill Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?Yes@ 88¢$326d ago

SELLWill Cleitinho Azevedo win the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial election?No@ 26¢$026d ago

SELLJerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No@ 82¢$1726d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 42¢$826d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No@ 57¢$926d ago

SELLWill Las Vegas Aces win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No@ 87¢$226d ago

SELLWill Linda Annis win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?Yes@ 32¢$1026d ago

SELLWill Ahsanul Hafiz win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?Yes@ 66¢$326d ago

SELLWill FK Chornomorets Odesa vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka end in a draw?No@ 27¢$026d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 12¢$1426d ago

SELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 16¢$326d ago

SELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes@ 0¢$126d ago

SELLWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by at least 25%?No@ 100¢$226d ago

SELLWill Lai Jui-lung win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election?Yes@ 77¢$026d ago

SELLGame 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd@ 0¢$026d ago

SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes@ 4¢$026d ago

SELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes@ 9¢$426d ago

SELLWill United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Yes@ 39¢$226d ago

SELLTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?Yes@ 6¢$226d ago

SELLWill Wesley Bell win the MO-01 Democratic primary by less than 4%?No@ 100¢$226d ago

SELLWill Ty Masterson win the Kansas Republican Governor primary by 10–15%?No@ 100¢$226d ago

SELLWill Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $25B by December 31?No@ 91¢$326d ago

SELLWill Daryl Parks win the Tallahassee mayoral election?No@ 99¢$226d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes@ 6¢$226d ago

SELLIran full airspace closure by September 30?No@ 88¢$1126d ago

SELLSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$226d ago

SELLWill PUBG Mobile Win the 2026 Esports Mobile Game of the Year Award?No@ 81¢$1726d ago

SELLWill Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?Yes@ 33¢$1226d ago

SELLWill Víctor Julio León Álvarez win the next Trujillo mayoral elections?No@ 98¢$1126d ago

SELLWill SER hold 59-61 French Senate seats after the 2026 election?Yes@ 30¢$426d ago

SELLWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No@ 61¢$126d ago

SELLWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes@ 12¢$226d ago

SELLWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No@ 90¢$326d ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?No@ 71¢$326d ago

SELLWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 81¢$1326d ago

SELLWill AfD win 29-31 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes@ 38¢$226d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

19Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 53¢$52043d ago

26New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 10.5UNDER @ 61¢$75448d ago

Not investment advice.