0x49F206 0x49f2…d7b4

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xe562…e76d(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

39.5

Win Rate

43.8%

PnL 90d

−$26.2K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)19 × 25%

Win Rate54 × 15%

Sizing Discipline7 × 15%

Longevity / Activity81 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 96 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$26.2K

Capital Deployed

$146K

Resolved

Win Rate

43.8%

Excess Win

-15.0

Avg Entry

59¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$3.4K — Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Worst: −$10.5K — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No94¢ → 95¢$9.5K+$115

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No64¢ → 75¢$3.1K+$428

Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026?No28¢ → 28¢$1.7K+$18

Will Shaun Deeb win the 2026 WSOP Player of the Year?No58¢ → 75¢$1.4K+$332

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?No48¢ → 52¢$1.2K+$94

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 37¢$217m ago

BUYWill Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 87¢$38618m ago

BUYWill Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 88¢$418m ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 32¢$21h ago

SELLWill none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?No@ 15¢$11h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Rams and Seahawks end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 43¢$21h ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 91¢$91h ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 92¢$51h ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 91¢$101h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No@ 54¢$2702h ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 94¢$9,4302h ago

SELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 23¢$23h ago

BUYWill BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No@ 83¢$1514h ago

BUYWill BYD be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No@ 84¢$44h ago

SELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?No@ 49¢$4,9005h ago

BUYPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$05h ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.0% before 2027?Yes@ 1¢$36h ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 98¢$496h ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 22¢$16h ago

BUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 43¢$26h ago

BUYJack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes@ 9¢$916h ago

BUYJack Barton announced as next James Bond?Yes@ 10¢$06h ago

SELLWill OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?No@ 5¢$137h ago

BUYWill Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes@ 1¢$08h ago

BUYWill Kansas have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes@ 1¢$08h ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 53¢$38h ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No@ 54¢$38h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 49¢$08h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 48¢$88h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Cowboys and Commanders end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 49¢$28h ago

BUYWill over 50 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 93¢$59h ago

BUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening week in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$210h ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 53¢$310h ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No@ 55¢$310h ago

BUYIsrael military action against Yemen by September 30?Yes@ 5¢$15510h ago

SELLWill Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 63¢$3,09212h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 61¢$3,03012h ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 62¢$312h ago

BUYMeta's Watermelon released by September 30, 2026?No@ 94¢$515h ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No@ 55¢$316h ago

BUYWill Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 96¢$42617h ago

BUYWill Ruben Gallego vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 97¢$517h ago

BUYWill over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 89¢$417h ago

BUYWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 88¢$417h ago

SELLWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 37¢$218h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No@ 54¢$27020h ago

BUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 43¢$223h ago

BUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?No@ 77¢$271d ago

BUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on October 31, 2026?No@ 78¢$41d ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 12¢$11d ago

SELLKBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung LionsSamsung Lions@ 51¢$2831d ago

BUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes@ 52¢$31d ago

BUYWill over 55 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 90¢$41d ago

BUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes@ 3¢$01d ago

BUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes@ 2¢$1151d ago

BUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 6¢$01d ago

BUYWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 89¢$641d ago

BUYWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 90¢$51d ago

BUYPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?Yes@ 8¢$01d ago

SELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 90¢$3,5181d ago

SELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 90¢$11d ago

SELLTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No@ 78¢$391d ago

SELLKBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung LionsSamsung Lions@ 51¢$11d ago

BUYWill over 62 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill Jerry Moran vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?Yes@ 4¢$01d ago

BUYEpic Games vs Roblox - higher valuation on December 31?Epic Games@ 8¢$01d ago

SELLTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No@ 78¢$231d ago

SELLTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No@ 78¢$101d ago

BUYWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?No@ 88¢$601d ago

BUYWill John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 82¢$561d ago

BUYWill John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?No@ 83¢$41d ago

BUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes@ 36¢$722d ago

BUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.00 on October 31, 2026?Yes@ 37¢$22d ago

BUYWill the Ornn H100 Index be less than $2.00 on October 31, 2026?No@ 93¢$932d ago

BUYWill WHERE IS MY HUSBAND! (RAYE) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?No@ 83¢$42d ago

BUYWill Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Yes@ 86¢$42d ago

BUYWill Baidu be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No@ 82¢$42d ago

BUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 29¢$12d ago

BUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 36¢$22d ago

BUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No@ 86¢$42d ago

BUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?Yes@ 17¢$12d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Texas Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 93¢$52d ago

BUYWill Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?No@ 89¢$1782d ago

BUYNATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?No@ 84¢$42d ago

BUYSituational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 6¢$02d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 97¢$1572d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 97¢$492d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 97¢$102d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 97¢$492d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 97¢$82d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 95¢$932d ago

SELLWill the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?No@ 95¢$242d ago

BUYWill Iowa State have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No@ 17¢$342d ago

BUYWill Iowa State have more than 2.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?No@ 18¢$12d ago

BUYWill Iowa have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?Yes@ 1¢$02d ago

BUYWill Kansas have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?Yes@ 44¢$22d ago

BUYWill Texas Tech Red Raiders Win the 2026 Big 12 Championship?Yes@ 41¢$22d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 81¢$42d ago

BUYWill over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?Yes@ 34¢$482d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

47Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 91¢$6,95737d ago

Not investment advice.