Convex79 0x4d86…1cb2

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x25e3…dabe(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

50.3

Win Rate

2.7%

PnL 90d

+$6K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)68 × 25%

Win Rate49 × 15%

Sizing Discipline13 × 15%

Longevity / Activity65 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 74 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$6K

Capital Deployed

$1.9K

Resolved

Win Rate

2.7%

Excess Win

-1.2

Avg Entry

4¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$164 — Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Worst: −$53 — Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Open Positions

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes1¢ → 1¢$97+$40

Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes5¢ → 7¢$47+$14

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes1¢ → 1¢$42−$13

Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes1¢ → 1¢$26−$14

Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes1¢ → 1¢$22−$8

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in September?Yes@ 3¢$61h ago

SELLWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 3¢$564h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18?Yes@ 18¢$105h ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18?Yes@ 15¢$25h ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on September 18?Yes@ 7¢$55h ago

BUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 1¢$27h ago

BUYWill Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 1¢$57h ago

SELLStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes@ 0¢$111h ago

BUYStandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes@ 1¢$511h ago

SELLAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes@ 2¢$712h ago

SELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 8¢$4014h ago

BUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$2019h ago

BUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$422h ago

BUYFed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$122h ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?No@ 1¢$111d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?No@ 1¢$41d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 17?No@ 1¢$51d ago

SELLUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Yes@ 0¢$31d ago

SELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes@ 2¢$121d ago

SELLFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 1¢$171d ago

SELLWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes@ 2¢$51d ago

BUYWill 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?Yes@ 1¢$121d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 2¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 3¢$11d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 2¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 3¢$201d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 3¢$121d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 5¢$201d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes@ 2¢$51d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes@ 3¢$51d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes@ 4¢$41d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 4¢$201d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 3¢$71d ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No@ 4¢$01d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 1¢$51d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 2¢$101d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 3¢$151d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 4¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?No@ 5¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 4¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 5¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 6¢$201d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?No@ 7¢$201d ago

BUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes@ 4¢$11d ago

SELL9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes@ 3¢$381d ago

BUYAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$151d ago

BUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Yes@ 1¢$141d ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?Yes@ 0¢$21d ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?Yes@ 1¢$41d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes@ 0¢$1031d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 16?Yes@ 0¢$51d ago

BUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No@ 1¢$01d ago

BUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No@ 1¢$51d ago

SELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?Yes@ 2¢$81d ago

SELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes@ 12¢$202d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 7¢$2232d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 2¢$202d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 3¢$202d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 4¢$202d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$202d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 6¢$202d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 7¢$202d ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?Yes@ 2¢$82d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?Yes@ 1¢$02d ago

BUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 16?Yes@ 1¢$52d ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?Yes@ 2¢$22d ago

SELLWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No@ 10¢$1022d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No@ 5¢$202d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No@ 6¢$202d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?No@ 7¢$202d ago

SELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?Yes@ 2¢$82d ago

SELLWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?Yes@ 11¢$72d ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?Yes@ 5¢$52d ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 16?Yes@ 6¢$52d ago

SELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?Yes@ 1¢$32d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 11¢$1602d ago

SELLWill Newcastle United be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes@ 7¢$22d ago

BUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 3¢$202d ago

BUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 4¢$202d ago

BUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 5¢$202d ago

BUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 6¢$202d ago

BUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?Yes@ 7¢$202d ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes@ 0¢$202d ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?Yes@ 1¢$202d ago

SELLWill Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?No@ 11¢$552d ago

BUYUS reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30?Yes@ 7¢$12d ago

SELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Yes@ 12¢$72d ago

SELLIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No@ 16¢$462d ago

BUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?No@ 7¢$202d ago

SELLTrump out as President by September 30?Yes@ 1¢$102d ago

SELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 10¢$1142d ago

SELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 8¢$302d ago

SELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 8¢$02d ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 4¢$202d ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 5¢$202d ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 6¢$202d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

56Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNEW YORK METS @ 95¢$5,795Fresh wallet50d ago

29Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNEW YORK METS @ 95¢$83450d ago

31Atlanta Braves vs. New York MetsNEW YORK METS @ 95¢$98250d ago

Not investment advice.