e46m3 0x4f1d…8de2

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xf83e…4663(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

53.0

Win Rate

45.8%

PnL 90d

+$1.2M

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)81 × 25%

Win Rate56 × 15%

Sizing Discipline19 × 15%

Longevity / Activity40 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 24 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$1.2M

Capital Deployed

$191K

Resolved

Win Rate

45.8%

Excess Win

—

Avg Entry

—

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$318 — Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Worst: −$158 — Will Linke win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Open Positions

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes7¢ → 0¢$39−$5.1K

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$32−$2K

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$32−$2K

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$32−$1.9K

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$32

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 15¢$42m ago

BUYWill Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 99¢$282m ago

BUYWill Mike Starchuk win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 100¢$282m ago

BUYWill Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 18¢$62m ago

BUYWill Mike Starchuk win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 100¢$322m ago

BUYWill Doug McCallum win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 99¢$322m ago

BUYWill Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 22¢$23m ago

BUYWill Honveer Singh Randhawa win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 97¢$83m ago

BUYWill Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No@ 100¢$524m ago

BUYWill Tim Louis win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No@ 100¢$524m ago

BUYWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No@ 66¢$344m ago

BUYWill Amanda Burrows win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?No@ 100¢$524m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18?No@ 86¢$174m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 18?No@ 100¢$204m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 18?No@ 100¢$204m ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No@ 23¢$57m ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat?No@ 76¢$157m ago

BUYWill Linke win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 100¢$510m ago

BUYWill the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 100¢$8412m ago

BUYWill the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 100¢$8412m ago

BUYWill SpearShot Win the ADC Race 2026?No@ 93¢$1013m ago

BUYWill NattyNatt Win the ADC Race 2026?No@ 15¢$213m ago

BUYWill United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 73¢$6115m ago

BUYWill United Russia win between 280 and 294 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 98¢$8215m ago

BUYWill United Russia win between 295 and 309 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 96¢$8015m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 18?No@ 100¢$818m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 37¢$318m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 18?No@ 73¢$618m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 18?No@ 99¢$818m ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 18?No@ 79¢$618m ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 75¢$623m ago

BUYWill the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 99¢$823m ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 87¢$723m ago

BUYWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 83¢$1923m ago

BUYWill Grüne win between 17% and 20% of all valid second votes?No@ 82¢$726m ago

BUYWill CDU win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 82¢$1026m ago

BUYWill SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 100¢$1326m ago

BUYWill Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 91¢$4827m ago

BUYWill Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 88¢$4627m ago

BUYWill AfD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 75¢$4527m ago

BUYWill CDU win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 55¢$4627m ago

BUYWill Grüne win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 98¢$8227m ago

BUYWill SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 100¢$8327m ago

BUYWill Parti conservateur du Québec win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No@ 100¢$2331m ago

BUYWill United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 95¢$1936m ago

BUYWill United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No@ 58¢$1236m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No@ 94¢$1938m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,600,000 and 1,700,000?No@ 63¢$1338m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,200,000 and 1,300,000?No@ 99¢$2038m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be 1,800,000 or more?No@ 97¢$1938m ago

BUYWill CDU win between 11% and 14% of all valid second votes?No@ 99¢$5138m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 47¢$3939m ago

BUYWill Rogério Barra win the Governor of Pará election?No@ 100¢$541m ago

BUYWill Dirceu Ten Caten win the Governor of Pará election?No@ 100¢$541m ago

BUYWill Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?No@ 36¢$241m ago

BUYWill the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 100¢$8342m ago

BUYWill no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?No@ 85¢$7142m ago

BUYWill SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?No@ 97¢$1142m ago

BUYWill AfD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 2-5%?No@ 95¢$1042m ago

BUYWill SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 5-10%?No@ 100¢$1142m ago

BUYWill SPD win the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern state election by a margin of 0-2%?No@ 42¢$542m ago

BUYWill Ric Jones win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No@ 100¢$844m ago

BUYWill Regis Ethur win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No@ 100¢$844m ago

BUYWill Daniela Mulheres Socialistas win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Sul Senate election?No@ 100¢$844m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in 1 German state election in September 2026?No@ 66¢$744m ago

BUYWill AI solve 5 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No@ 100¢$3345m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?No@ 25¢$346m ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 73¢$43846m ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 25¢$15046m ago

BUYWill the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 79¢$1052m ago

BUYWill the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 100¢$1352m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No@ 87¢$758m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?No@ 90¢$458m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?No@ 100¢$858m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?No@ 90¢$758m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?No@ 100¢$558m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No@ 86¢$458m ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be less than 1,500,000?No@ 100¢$21h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?No@ 90¢$21h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No@ 87¢$21h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,800,000 and 1,900,000?No@ 86¢$451h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?No@ 99¢$521h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000?No@ 92¢$481h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,100,000 and 2,200,000?No@ 88¢$111h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 2,000,000 and 2,100,000?No@ 76¢$101h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?No@ 99¢$131h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,900,000 and 2,000,000?No@ 83¢$111h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be 2,200,000 or more?No@ 97¢$121h ago

BUYWill total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oregon be between 1,500,000 and 1,600,000?No@ 99¢$131h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 89¢$461h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 75¢$391h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 83¢$431h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 89¢$181h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be between 56% and 59% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 82¢$161h ago

BUYWill voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?No@ 83¢$171h ago

BUYWill 11-12 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No@ 100¢$51h ago

BUYWill 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No@ 59¢$31h ago

BUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1400.00 and 1449.99 at the end of December 2026?No@ 99¢$121h ago

BUYWill the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1250.00 and 1299.99 at the end of December 2026?No@ 100¢$121h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

23Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 97¢$5352d ago

22Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 91¢$5012d ago

24Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5472d ago

23Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 96¢$5282d ago

24Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 99¢$5442d ago

24Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 99¢$5452d ago

24Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 96¢$5272d ago

24Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 99¢$5442d ago

24Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5472d ago

23Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 97¢$5312d ago

22Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 94¢$5142d ago

22Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 91¢$5002d ago

24Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5472d ago

24Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5472d ago

24Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5482d ago

24Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 99¢$5452d ago

24Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship?NO @ 100¢$5472d ago

40SMU vs. Florida State: 1H MoneylineSMU @ 56¢$2,1629d ago

37Louisville vs. Ole Miss: O/U 54.5UNDER @ 49¢$1,39910d ago

41Texas Rangers vs. Chicago White SoxCHICAGO WHITE SOX @ 49¢$1,51322d ago

35Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 41¢$1,28222d ago

41Kansas City Royals vs. Toronto Blue JaysTORONTO BLUE JAYS @ 56¢$2,21222d ago

47Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5UNDER @ 59¢$3,53146d ago

47Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5UNDER @ 51¢$2,90646d ago

34New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxNEW YORK YANKEES @ 58¢$1,37049d ago

Not investment advice.