NotTheSharpestTool 0x626e…fa46

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xc417…9db1

Sharp Score

44.3

Win Rate

65.0%

PnL 90d

−$6.2K

Avg CLV

+4.4¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value58 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)34 × 25%

Win Rate61 × 15%

Sizing Discipline14 × 15%

Longevity / Activity43 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 40 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$6.4K

Capital Deployed

$74.6K

Resolved

Win Rate

65.0%

Excess Win

+8.7

Avg Entry

56¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$1.3K — Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Worst: −$3.5K — Starmer out by June 30, 2026?

Open Positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No60¢ → 99¢$31.2K+$12.4K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No62¢ → 100¢$5.3K+$2K

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No65¢ → 68¢$4K+$213

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No85¢ → 88¢$3.6K+$96

Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No56¢ → 78¢$1.7K+$495

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes22¢ → 17¢$908−$281

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No56¢ → 65¢$716+$104

Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No85¢ → 83¢$655−$22

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No93¢ → 100¢$499+$35

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No80¢ → 96¢$481+$83

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No93¢ → 98¢$284+$14

Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No96¢ → 100¢$200+$8

Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No92¢ → 99¢$155+$11

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes17¢ → 12¢$154−$70

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes84¢ → 97¢$108+$14

Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No77¢ → 82¢$85+$5

Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No88¢ → 99¢$58+$6

Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No39¢ → 4¢$57−$577

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No8¢ → 4¢$45−$42

Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No21¢ → 1¢$33−$738

Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?Yes1¢ → 0¢$4−$8

Will Solana reach $100 in July?Yes22¢ → 3¢$3−$20

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 89¢$52h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 65¢$544h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 65¢$1494h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 65¢$184h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 64¢$4774h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 64¢$4815h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No@ 89¢$345h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No@ 65¢$1135h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 66¢$4975h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 64¢$4815h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 63¢$1086h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes@ 12¢$26h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 78¢$876h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 61¢$4586h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 33¢$2446h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 78¢$347h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No@ 91¢$147h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No@ 66¢$167h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 38¢$287h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 60¢$1047h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No@ 64¢$27h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No@ 90¢$6777h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes@ 12¢$38h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 74¢$721h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 70¢$1921h ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 91¢$1422h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No@ 75¢$822h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 71¢$423h ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 71¢$22923h ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 91¢$131d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 53¢$11d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 53¢$31d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 53¢$11d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 67¢$41d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 72¢$2681d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 67¢$21d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 71¢$61d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$121d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$221d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$931d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$181d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$131d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 93¢$571d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 84¢$331d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 85¢$551d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 85¢$311d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 74¢$381d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 89¢$681d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 62¢$541d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 85¢$141d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 86¢$141d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 86¢$121d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 59¢$161d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No@ 83¢$6211d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No@ 88¢$181d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No@ 86¢$171d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?No@ 82¢$6131d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 12¢$121d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 84¢$251d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 89¢$41d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 74¢$731d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No@ 87¢$111d ago

BUYWill Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 80¢$121d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 63¢$621d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 12¢$121d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 62¢$02d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 77¢$102d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 62¢$182d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 58¢$182d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 58¢$102d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 51¢$32d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 57¢$102d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No@ 90¢$162d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$62d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$482d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$1752d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$342d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$1052d ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 35¢$1572d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 47¢$102d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 49¢$72d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 13¢$132d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 39¢$22d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?Yes@ 37¢$222d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 39¢$12d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 65¢$272d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 45¢$122d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 37¢$1852d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 65¢$62d ago

BUYWill Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 81¢$522d ago

BUYWill Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?No@ 37¢$12d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

24Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NO @ 82¢$6131d ago

Not investment advice.