Grateful-Graphic 0x633e…d305

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Sharp Score

30.3

Win Rate

37.5%

PnL 90d

−$219K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

352

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)2 × 25%

Win Rate33 × 15%

Sizing Discipline2 × 15%

Longevity / Activity71 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 352 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$219K

Capital Deployed

$13.3K

Resolved

352

Win Rate

37.5%

Excess Win

+3.7

Avg Entry

34¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$2.7K — Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Worst: −$327 — Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes25¢ → 8¢$141−$296

Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes74¢ → 91¢$84+$16

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes40¢ → 56¢$82+$23

Will Cusco FC win on 2026-07-18?Yes63¢ → 100¢$38+$14

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in OpenAI's initial public offering?Yes15¢ → 13¢$24−$5

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes89¢ → 95¢$20+$1

Valorant: M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black (BO5) - VCL North America: Stage 3 PlayoffsM8081¢ → 100¢$19+$4

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes14¢ → 13¢$17−$2

Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Los Angeles FC: O/U 2.5Over62¢ → 100¢$15+$6

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?No48¢ → 72¢$14+$5

Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes19¢ → 18¢$9−$1

Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16?No64¢ → 56¢$8−$1

Will Ningbo Professional FC win on 2026-08-09?No74¢ → 54¢$7−$3

Exact Score: Chicago Fire FC 1 - 3 Vancouver Whitecaps FC?Yes5¢ → 5¢$5+$0

Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes17¢ → 36¢$4+$2

Will Wuhan San Zhen FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes22¢ → 30¢$4+$1

Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes11¢ → 11¢$4−$0

SC Braga vs. Gil Vicente FC: O/U 2.5Over49¢ → 50¢$3+$0

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes6¢ → 4¢$3−$2

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes1¢ → 28¢$3+$3

Will Newcastle United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes0¢ → 0¢$2−$1

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?Yes4¢ → 2¢$2−$3

Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes7¢ → 9¢$2+$0

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes21¢ → 21¢$2−$0

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No20¢ → 19¢$2−$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 87¢$171d ago

BUYWill anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?Yes@ 1¢$02d ago

SELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 86¢$1,0445d ago

SELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 86¢$2965d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 86¢$3338d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 86¢$2918d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 86¢$4858d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 85¢$9710d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 85¢$3510d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 85¢$9710d ago

SELLWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 85¢$2,89410d ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 73¢$1010d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 44¢$26713d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 72¢$9714d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 47¢$28614d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 74¢$29115d ago

SELLWill Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes@ 17¢$316d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$016d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 74¢$38816d ago

SELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 0¢$417d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$217d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$3320d ago

SELLIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No@ 94¢$83020d ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes@ 13¢$921d ago

SELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No@ 2¢$021d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 33¢$6521d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 75¢$19422d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 36¢$7122d ago

SELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes@ 2¢$622d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 0¢$323d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 0¢$223d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 0¢$323d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 75¢$9723d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 66¢$49024d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 67¢$49724d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 75¢$9724d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 0¢$324d ago

BUYWill anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?No@ 48¢$1024d ago

SELLWill Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?No@ 2¢$624d ago

SELLNBA: LeBron James and Bronny James Jr. to Play Together in 2026-27?Yes@ 2¢$124d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 75¢$2225d ago

SELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?Yes@ 30¢$225d ago

BUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes@ 72¢$9725d ago

SELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 62¢$2826d ago

SELLWill Burton Albion FC win on 2026-08-22?No@ 28¢$226d ago

SELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 64¢$226d ago

SELLIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No@ 88¢$6226d ago

SELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$11726d ago

SELLErzurumspor FK vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 1.5Over@ 100¢$7327d ago

SELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No@ 99¢$2,66027d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Yes@ 58¢$62127d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Yes@ 51¢$1,48627d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Yes@ 54¢$21727d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Yes@ 55¢$45627d ago

SELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in August?Yes@ 55¢$11427d ago

SELLWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes@ 0¢$327d ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?Yes@ 12¢$527d ago

SELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No@ 98¢$83627d ago

SELLWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No@ 100¢$2527d ago

BUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 21?Yes@ 8¢$227d ago

SELLWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 August 17-23?Yes@ 92¢$71827d ago

SELLFC Sion vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 5.5Over@ 100¢$8628d ago

BUYIndiana Fever vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 185.5Over@ 49¢$928d ago

SELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming@ 100¢$228d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes@ 1¢$528d ago

SELLCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup PlayoffsFaZe@ 4¢$228d ago

SELLGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 25¢$3228d ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?Yes@ 62¢$8028d ago

SELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 20?Yes@ 84¢$10428d ago

SELLGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 100¢$7628d ago

SELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming@ 100¢$60628d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming@ 27¢$2128d ago

SELLGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 100¢$2628d ago

SELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp@ 32¢$728d ago

BUYQairat FK vs. RSC Anderlecht: Both Teams to ScoreYes@ 51¢$4828d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETUp@ 52¢$1228d ago

BUYMap 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under@ 57¢$528d ago

BUYExact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Deportivo Alavés?Yes@ 14¢$1028d ago

SELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming@ 41¢$1128d ago

BUYGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 44¢$3328d ago

SELLLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming@ 37¢$15328d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming@ 65¢$1128d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming@ 55¢$5628d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerLGD Gaming@ 27¢$1028d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown@ 42¢$328d ago

BUYExact Score: FK Crvena zvezda 1 - 1 FC Viktoria Plzeň?Yes@ 12¢$728d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming@ 79¢$2128d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming@ 73¢$44328d ago

SELLSolana Up or Down - August 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown@ 96¢$228d ago

SELLSolana Up or Down - August 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown@ 87¢$628d ago

BUYCounter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerFaZe@ 28¢$19028d ago

BUYLoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendLGD Gaming@ 45¢$4328d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETDown@ 51¢$528d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

26Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?YES @ 86¢$1,14329d ago

26Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?YES @ 72¢$95229d ago

32Dana White's Contender Series: Trent Miller vs. Douglas Rodrigues (Middleweight, Main Card)DOUGLAS RODRIGUES @ 80¢$1,90530d ago

20UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)ISLAM MAKHACHEV @ 76¢$95234d ago

16Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota TwinsBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 78¢$68336d ago

37Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota TwinsBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 78¢$14,28636d ago

36Baltimore Orioles vs. Minnesota TwinsBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 78¢$14,28636d ago

29Los Angeles Angels vs. Baltimore OriolesBALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 56¢$1,096Retail fade43d ago

22San Diego Padres vs. Arizona DiamondbacksSAN DIEGO PADRES @ 95¢$90543d ago

14Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston AstrosHOUSTON ASTROS @ 55¢$75044d ago

30New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsNEW YORK YANKEES @ 68¢$3,92946d ago

33Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersMINNESOTA TWINS @ 50¢$2,57046d ago

24Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersMINNESOTA TWINS @ 50¢$95246d ago

24Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?YES @ 75¢$57148d ago

Not investment advice.