Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xe780…e245via Binance

Sharp Score

55.4

Win Rate

71.9%

PnL 90d

+$46.9K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)86 × 25%

Win Rate52 × 15%

Sizing Discipline14 × 15%

Longevity / Activity65 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 89 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$46.9K

Capital Deployed

$197K

Resolved

Win Rate

71.9%

Excess Win

-1.4

Avg Entry

73¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$3.1K — Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Worst: −$124 — Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?

Open Positions

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No84¢ → 96¢$10.8K+$1.3K

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No73¢ → 95¢$10.3K+$2.3K

Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?No89¢ → 92¢$7.6K+$273

US strike on Colombia by December 31?No73¢ → 85¢$7.6K+$990

Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes84¢ → 83¢$5.4K−$112

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$4271h ago

BUYWill the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes@ 71¢$1413h ago

BUYWill the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No@ 82¢$294h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$15h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$1,9605h ago

BUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$255h ago

BUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$325h ago

BUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$25h ago

BUYWill 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$75h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$65h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$1,6075h ago

SELLWill Pablo Gutiérrez Lazarus win the 2027 Campeche Governor Election?Yes@ 91¢$186h ago

BUYSaints vs. Ravens AND Eagles vs. Titans AND Bengals vs. Texans@ 25¢$966h ago

BUYWill the Florida Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?No@ 78¢$1716h ago

BUYWill the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes@ 71¢$06h ago

BUYWill the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes@ 71¢$16h ago

BUYWill the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes@ 71¢$926h ago

BUYBlue tsunami in 2026?Yes@ 49¢$496h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$1387h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$507h ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 55¢$1,3777h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?No@ 91¢$5520h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 75¢$13020h ago

BUYWill the Michigan 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Yes@ 50¢$423h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 75¢$9523h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$6823h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$4923h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$52723h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$14223h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 75¢$751d ago

BUYBlue wave in 2026?Yes@ 79¢$61d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 9%-12%?No@ 91¢$361d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 15%-18%?No@ 95¢$441d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 New Hampshire Senate election by 6% or more?No@ 93¢$191d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 89¢$3561d ago

BUYBlue wave in 2026?Yes@ 79¢$161d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 79¢$61d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$131d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$1081d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$81d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$711d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$6721d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$31d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?No@ 89¢$151d ago

BUYWill Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?No@ 90¢$4891d ago

BUYWill Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?Yes@ 77¢$3851d ago

BUYWill Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?Yes@ 81¢$102d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 69¢$6902d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September?Yes@ 19¢$562d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes@ 52¢$2602d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 87¢$3482d ago

BUYWill Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?No@ 83¢$882d ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 76¢$2282d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September?Yes@ 30¢$1222d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September?Yes@ 55¢$1642d ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 74¢$2742d ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 74¢$222d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 87¢$5222d ago

BUYBlue wave in 2026?Yes@ 80¢$2752d ago

SELLWill Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes@ 88¢$8802d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 87¢$4352d ago

BUYWill Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?No@ 90¢$872d ago

SELLWill Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Yes@ 9¢$12d ago

BUYWill the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No@ 82¢$34d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 47¢$2354d ago

BUYWill the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No@ 82¢$04d ago

BUYWill the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the second most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?No@ 82¢$164d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$126d ago

BUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes@ 32¢$36d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$36d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$06d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$117d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$2507d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 80¢$4007d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$37d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$17d ago

SELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No@ 88¢$8807d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$87d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$87d ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$27d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$3947d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$77d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$157d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$38d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 66¢$9618d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$38d ago

BUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes@ 32¢$08d ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$28d ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$18d ago

BUYWill Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes@ 32¢$18d ago

BUYCowboys vs. GiantsCowboys@ 60¢$38d ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No@ 66¢$318d ago

BUYTrump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No@ 86¢$618d ago

BUYTrump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No@ 86¢$1898d ago

BUYTrump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?No@ 86¢$88d ago

BUYWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?No@ 92¢$178d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

31Chicago Cubs vs. Arizona DiamondbacksCHICAGO CUBS @ 98¢$1,80022d ago

18Seattle Mariners vs. New York YankeesNEW YORK YANKEES @ 88¢$50036d ago

22Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersDETROIT TIGERS @ 93¢$80036d ago

21Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit TigersDETROIT TIGERS @ 93¢$80036d ago

29Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 88¢$80040d ago

32Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle MarinersTAMPA BAY RAYS @ 84¢$80040d ago

31Tampa Bay Rays vs. Seattle MarinersTAMPA BAY RAYS @ 84¢$80040d ago

Not investment advice.