0x7803…9e91

View on Polymarket ↗

Sharp Score

47.8

Win Rate

0.0%

PnL 90d

−$1.1K

Avg CLV

-19.5¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value47 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)50 × 25%

Win Rate47 × 15%

Sizing Discipline47 × 15%

Longevity / Activity49 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 1 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$718

Capital Deployed

$33.7K

Resolved

Win Rate

0.0%

Excess Win

-61.0

Avg Entry

61¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$19 — Iran leadership change by December 31?Worst: −$200 — Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?

Open Positions

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No85¢ → 85¢$2.9K−$17

Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes47¢ → 41¢$668−$107

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No75¢ → 72¢$421−$21

Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes47¢ → 46¢$46−$1

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No88¢ → 89¢$44+$0

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?No89¢ → 88¢$44−$1

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No85¢ → 86¢$43+$0

Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?No84¢ → 85¢$42+$0

Will Hakainde Hichilema win the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?Yes85¢ → 85¢$42−$0

Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?No82¢ → 81¢$41−$0

Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes80¢ → 81¢$39+$0

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No75¢ → 76¢$38+$0

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No77¢ → 71¢$35−$3

Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes70¢ → 69¢$34−$1

Will Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?No73¢ → 76¢$30+$1

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes84¢ → 82¢$29−$1

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes58¢ → 57¢$28−$1

Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes76¢ → 77¢$27+$0

Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No65¢ → 65¢$27+$0

Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No51¢ → 51¢$26+$0

Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No51¢ → 50¢$25−$1

Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No55¢ → 55¢$25−$0

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?Yes85¢ → 86¢$23+$0

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes37¢ → 37¢$18−$0

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes37¢ → 37¢$18−$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?No@ 76¢$52m ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No@ 77¢$55m ago

BUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 37¢$1913m ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No@ 77¢$542m ago

SELL Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No@ 78¢$547m ago

BUYIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes@ 58¢$291h ago

BUYWill Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes@ 37¢$191h ago

BUYWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 65¢$271h ago

SELLWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No@ 86¢$432h ago

BUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes@ 46¢$232h ago

BUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Yes@ 47¢$242h ago

SELLWill Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 81¢$143h ago

SELLWill Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 81¢$23h ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 85¢$953h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 85¢$2,9993h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 86¢$43h ago

BUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No@ 88¢$44h ago

BUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 75¢$4044h ago

BUYWill CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 76¢$384h ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$56h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?No@ 51¢$266h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?No@ 48¢$116h ago

SELLWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No@ 63¢$186h ago

SELLWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No@ 63¢$86h ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes@ 56¢$48h ago

BUYWill Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election?Yes@ 82¢$58h ago

BUYWill Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?Yes@ 76¢$278h ago

BUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?No@ 63¢$48h ago

SELLWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 61¢$79h ago

BUYWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026?No@ 84¢$429h ago

SELLWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 61¢$59h ago

SELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No@ 88¢$410h ago

BUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No@ 75¢$3810h ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No@ 67¢$710h ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No@ 67¢$2010h ago

SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 75¢$510h ago

SELLWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?No@ 28¢$910h ago

BUYWill Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?No@ 55¢$2511h ago

BUYWill Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes@ 47¢$77012h ago

BUYWill Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?Yes@ 48¢$512h ago

SELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes@ 87¢$3612h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No@ 76¢$512h ago

SELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 2¢$313h ago

BUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes@ 87¢$4413h ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No@ 76¢$513h ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No@ 79¢$1214h ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No@ 79¢$2414h ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No@ 79¢$414h ago

BUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$3914h ago

SELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes@ 66¢$3314h ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 86¢$114h ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 86¢$414h ago

SELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?No@ 65¢$514h ago

BUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?No@ 63¢$415h ago

SELLWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 2¢$015h ago

SELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes@ 35¢$418h ago

SELLWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?No@ 73¢$118h ago

SELLWill Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?No@ 73¢$2,66218h ago

SELLUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 30¢$018h ago

SELLWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 64¢$018h ago

BUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$519h ago

SELLWill Notre Dame Fighting Irish win the 2027 CFP National Championship?No@ 87¢$4419h ago

BUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 61¢$520h ago

SELLWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes@ 44¢$2220h ago

BUYWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes@ 44¢$2220h ago

SELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 41¢$520h ago

SELLIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No@ 39¢$2021h ago

BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No@ 76¢$122h ago

BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?No@ 77¢$522h ago

BUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 40¢$522h ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 76¢$523h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the TN-04 House seat?Yes@ 88¢$1823h ago

SELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No@ 80¢$523h ago

BUYUkraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No@ 80¢$51d ago

SELLWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo@ 72¢$301d ago

SELLWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo@ 72¢$51d ago

SELLWill Gen.G win the EWC League of Legends TournamentNo@ 72¢$21d ago

BUYIran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?No@ 38¢$191d ago

SELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No@ 42¢$51d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 51 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 82¢$161d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No@ 84¢$171d ago

SELLWill Vitality Win BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?No@ 63¢$61d ago

SELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No@ 54¢$41d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 71¢$2811d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 70¢$2021d ago

BUYWill Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 80¢$161d ago

BUYWill Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?No@ 66¢$131d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 70¢$741d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$2471d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$01d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$231d ago

SELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?No@ 69¢$11d ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No@ 86¢$41d ago

SELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?No@ 62¢$681d ago

SELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?No@ 61¢$661d ago

SELLWill Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?No@ 64¢$3331d ago

SELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No@ 44¢$221d ago

BUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026?No@ 76¢$381d ago

SELLNetanyahu out by end of 2026?No@ 64¢$41d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

46Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?NO @ 73¢$2,66218h ago

Not investment advice.