Alpheo 0x7eaa…fd24

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Sharp Score

49.6

Win Rate

73.1%

PnL 90d

+$7.2K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)64 × 25%

Win Rate38 × 15%

Sizing Discipline18 × 15%

Longevity / Activity75 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 26 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$7.2K

Capital Deployed

$272K

Resolved

Win Rate

73.1%

Excess Win

-15.8

Avg Entry

89¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$3K — Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Worst: −$2.1K — Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?

Open Positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No99¢ → 99¢$29.8K+$180

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No97¢ → 99¢$12.7K+$263

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No97¢ → 100¢$6.1K+$207

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes83¢ → 79¢$3.9K−$225

Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes83¢ → 84¢$2.4K+$15

Houthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No80¢ → 88¢$774+$66

Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes85¢ → 81¢$14−$1

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 84¢$3410h ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 84¢$35210h ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 84¢$31d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$31d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$18,8721d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$82d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$02d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$4542d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$132d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$172d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$12d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$112d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$22d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$12d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$22d ago

BUYAnthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Yes@ 85¢$142d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$1962d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$10,0012d ago

BUYHouthis enter Aden by September 30, 2026?No@ 80¢$7083d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$53d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$4884d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$54d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$104d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$1724d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$114d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$104d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$5254d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$754d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$494d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes@ 83¢$2,1774d ago

BUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Yes@ 83¢$4,1504d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$424d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$274d ago

SELLWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 42¢$1,3134d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETDown@ 91¢$1,0004d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETDown@ 87¢$1,0004d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETDown@ 90¢$1,0004d ago

SELLWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes@ 0¢$74d ago

BUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?Yes@ 42¢$2,1064d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$6,9825d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$1375d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$275d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$9235d ago

SELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$19,6216d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$807d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$87d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$37d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$407d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$157d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$107d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$47d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$377d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$127d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$28d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$298d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$68d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$58d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$1388d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$1,5308d ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?No@ 40¢$818d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$23514d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$52314d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$1314d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$214d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$4015d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 95¢$8,68815d ago

BUYNew York Yankees vs. Los Angeles AngelsNew York Yankees@ 63¢$63015d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$316d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$216d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$616d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$116d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$5316d ago

BUYAtlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsAtlanta Braves@ 61¢$61016d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$116d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$316d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$35516d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$1916d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$716d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$216d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$1116d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$216d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$116d ago

BUYSan Diego Padres vs. Cincinnati RedsSan Diego Padres@ 55¢$16316d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$116d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$1216d ago

BUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland GuardiansToronto Blue Jays@ 37¢$116d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

28New York Yankees vs. Los Angeles AngelsNEW YORK YANKEES @ 63¢$63015d ago

28Atlanta Braves vs. Washington NationalsATLANTA BRAVES @ 61¢$61016d ago

24Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red SoxBOSTON RED SOX @ 53¢$53016d ago

Not investment advice.