thefakenick 0x85b9…906d

🐋 CRYPTO WHALE · $463KView on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xcb39…8bc6

Sharp Score

52.6

Win Rate

54.5%

PnL 90d

+$17.4K

Avg CLV

+3.5¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value55 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)69 × 25%

Win Rate53 × 15%

Sizing Discipline20 × 15%

Longevity / Activity51 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 22 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$16.6K

Capital Deployed

$276K

Resolved

Win Rate

55.0%

Excess Win

+6.3

Avg Entry

49¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$8.8K — Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Worst: −$8.6K — Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Open Positions

Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No97¢ → 98¢$12K+$67

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes26¢ → 42¢$4.5K+$1.7K

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No73¢ → 71¢$3.9K−$136

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No88¢ → 88¢$3.4K−$19

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes100¢ → 100¢$2.9K+$7

Will Inter Milan win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No50¢ → 50¢$1.3K−$13

Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No84¢ → 86¢$1.2K+$21

Will Marseille win the 2026-27 Ligue 1 Championship?No95¢ → 95¢$994−$2

Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?No92¢ → 93¢$925+$5

Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No95¢ → 96¢$586+$6

Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No90¢ → 100¢$542+$54

Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No72¢ → 66¢$393−$39

Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes7¢ → 8¢$239+$16

Will Roma win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?No92¢ → 95¢$221+$7

Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes3¢ → 2¢$215−$117

Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes5¢ → 13¢$81+$49

Will Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No87¢ → 89¢$65+$1

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No60¢ → 64¢$49+$3

Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No71¢ → 100¢$46+$13

Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No85¢ → 98¢$40+$5

Will Milan win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?No90¢ → 75¢$40−$8

Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No88¢ → 89¢$37+$0

Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes6¢ → 5¢$22−$7

Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?Yes6¢ → 8¢$21+$4

Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes10¢ → 11¢$14+$1

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes@ 4¢$18m ago

SELLWill Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes@ 12¢$19m ago

BUYWill Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes@ 4¢$148m ago

BUYWill Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes@ 4¢$01h ago

BUYWill Marseille win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?Yes@ 4¢$11h ago

BUYWill Guadalajara win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?No@ 87¢$641h ago

BUYWill Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 71¢$1,7751h ago

SELLWill RB Leipzig win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?Yes@ 2¢$102h ago

SELLWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes@ 100¢$5,5903h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$533h ago

BUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$15h ago

BUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$05h ago

BUYWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$316h ago

BUYWill Toluca win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes@ 9¢$17h ago

BUYWill Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes@ 9¢$17h ago

BUYWill Pumas UNAM win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?Yes@ 9¢$17h ago

BUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes@ 100¢$2,9058h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$348h ago

BUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes@ 100¢$3,2908h ago

BUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes@ 100¢$1,59210h ago

BUYWorld Cup: Unbeaten Champion?Yes@ 100¢$18911h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$9111h ago

SELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No@ 86¢$8612h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$8612h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$1912h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$513h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$4713h ago

BUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$4,88015h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$11,04415h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$11315h ago

SELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 97¢$17517h ago

SELLWill Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 97¢$31217h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$20017h ago

SELLWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?No@ 98¢$82818h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$4318h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$518h ago

SELLWill Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?Yes@ 3¢$3618h ago

SELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?No@ 86¢$17219h ago

BUYWill Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes@ 0¢$020h ago

BUYWill Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes@ 0¢$120h ago

BUYWill Real Sociedad win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?Yes@ 0¢$020h ago

SELLWill Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?No@ 56¢$33520h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$021h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$621h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$921h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$321h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$021h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$4521h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$021h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$022h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$822h ago

SELLWill Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 97¢$14022h ago

SELLWill Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No@ 93¢$11622h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$4423h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$123h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$723h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$123h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$5023h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$83023h ago

SELLWill South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 42¢$1,83323h ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$281d ago

SELLWill Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes@ 1¢$101d ago