waterx- 0x870f…6da1

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x3a3b…02e2(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

36.8

Win Rate

36.3%

PnL 90d

−$38K

Avg CLV

+7.0¢

Resolved Trades

582

Why this score

Closing Line Value67 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)11 × 25%

Win Rate32 × 15%

Sizing Discipline1 × 15%

Longevity / Activity55 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 582 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$38K

Capital Deployed

$1.3K

Resolved

582

Win Rate

36.3%

Excess Win

+3.4

Avg Entry

33¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$9 — Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 8AM ETWorst: −$637 — Will England win on 2026-06-23?

Open Positions

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes48¢ → 56¢$102+$14

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?No97¢ → 98¢$15+$0

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No97¢ → 100¢$13+$0

LoL: NCG Esports vs LYON Academy (BO3) - LRN Regular seasonLYON Academy57¢ → 50¢$13−$2

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes24¢ → 61¢$11+$7

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No55¢ → 83¢$10+$4

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?No86¢ → 97¢$8+$1

Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?No98¢ → 97¢$8−$0

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Yes68¢ → 93¢$7+$2

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?No92¢ → 98¢$6+$0

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?No80¢ → 94¢$6+$1

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes49¢ → 18¢$6−$10

Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No98¢ → 98¢$5+$0

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No89¢ → 96¢$5+$0

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes10¢ → 19¢$4+$2

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes88¢ → 95¢$4+$0

Counter-Strike: Vitality Academy vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Regular Playoffs Phantom Academy69¢ → 50¢$4−$1

Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?No65¢ → 88¢$3+$1

Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes67¢ → 88¢$3+$1

Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No90¢ → 92¢$3+$0

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 American League Championship Series?No94¢ → 89¢$2−$0

Counter-Strike: Phantom Academy vs Esport BERG (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season Phantom Academy57¢ → 55¢$2−$0

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?No98¢ → 99¢$2+$0

Counter-Strike: ENJOY vs Fraternity (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular SeasonENJOY57¢ → 50¢$2−$0

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No86¢ → 72¢$2−$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$017d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5Under@ 88¢$1,31517d ago

BUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit TigersLos Angeles Dodgers@ 86¢$99318d ago

BUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere@ 47¢$2,92327d ago

BUYLoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonNatus Vincere@ 45¢$2,92027d ago

BUYLoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupKT Rolster@ 29¢$2,89727d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETDown@ 21¢$727d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown@ 7¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown@ 20¢$227d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETDown@ 1¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown@ 16¢$627d ago

BUYValorant: DRX vs Sharper Esport (BO3) - VCT Pacific Play-InDRX@ 82¢$327d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETDown@ 20¢$527d ago

BUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons@ 17¢$1727d ago

BUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 WinnerTeam Falcons@ 29¢$9627d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETUp@ 65¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3AM ETDown@ 9¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETDown@ 4¢$227d ago

BUYDota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid@ 29¢$14427d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETUp@ 98¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETDown@ 33¢$8527d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETUp@ 97¢$227d ago

BUYWill Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes@ 48¢$8827d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 72¢$2527d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETDown@ 83¢$1027d ago

BUYDota 2: Iron Wing vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International PlayoffsBoomBoys@ 38¢$9627d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down on August 21?Down@ 5¢$227d ago

BUYGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 47¢$527d ago

BUYGame Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)Anyones Legend@ 42¢$527d ago

BUYGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 49¢$527d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETDown@ 3¢$227d ago

SELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp@ 35¢$927d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETUp@ 18¢$527d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ETDown@ 4¢$227d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown@ 9¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETDown@ 15¢$927d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETDown@ 19¢$427d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 9PM ETDown@ 3¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 9PM ETDown@ 12¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETDown@ 4¢$227d ago

SELLEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown@ 69¢$827d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETDown@ 20¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 8PM ETDown@ 5¢$227d ago

SELLEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown@ 82¢$2127d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETDown@ 9¢$227d ago

BUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETDown@ 12¢$527d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ETUp@ 6¢$227d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp@ 9¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETDown@ 10¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 7:25PM-7:30PM ETDown@ 34¢$227d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETDown@ 21¢$228d ago

BUYSolana Up or Down - August 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETDown@ 9¢$228d ago

BUYWashington Nationals vs. Texas RangersTexas Rangers@ 63¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown@ 16¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETUp@ 1¢$228d ago

SELLHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown@ 70¢$4128d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETDown@ 29¢$1728d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 5:55PM-6:00PM ETUp@ 10¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETUp@ 75¢$228d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ETDown@ 20¢$1228d ago

BUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETDown@ 5¢$228d ago

SELLGames Total: O/U 2.5Under@ 46¢$10928d ago

BUYGames Total: O/U 2.5Under@ 83¢$19828d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETDown@ 7¢$928d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 5:30PM-5:35PM ETDown@ 14¢$928d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETDown@ 7¢$428d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp@ 4¢$228d ago

SELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp@ 45¢$728d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETUp@ 30¢$528d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:15PM-5:20PM ETDown@ 8¢$228d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 5:00PM-5:15PM ETDown@ 5¢$228d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown@ 6¢$228d ago

BUYEthereum Up or Down - August 20, 4:55PM-5:00PM ETDown@ 7¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETUp@ 4¢$228d ago

SELLHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown@ 29¢$428d ago

SELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown@ 72¢$728d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown@ 17¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETDown@ 24¢$228d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15PM-4:30PM ETDown@ 4¢$228d ago

SELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp@ 99¢$1228d ago

BUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ETUp@ 20¢$228d ago

SELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp@ 98¢$2128d ago

BUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ETUp@ 11¢$228d ago

BUYLoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL PlayoffsSkillcamp Esport@ 26¢$9628d ago

BUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETDown@ 10¢$228d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

30Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 11.5UNDER @ 88¢$1,31517d ago

33Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit TigersLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 86¢$99318d ago

Not investment advice.