Bet1nthedark 0x8b88…5f5e

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xfe08…5ca5

Sharp Score

47.9

Win Rate

97.2%

PnL 90d

−$1.5K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)43 × 25%

Win Rate59 × 15%

Sizing Discipline15 × 15%

Longevity / Activity85 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 36 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$1.5K

Capital Deployed

$410K

Resolved

Win Rate

97.2%

Excess Win

+10.0

Avg Entry

87¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$4.6K — Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Worst: −$11.2K — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No84¢ → 84¢$20.2K−$95

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No89¢ → 95¢$11.2K+$701

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No88¢ → 95¢$11K+$800

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes58¢ → 34¢$7K−$5.1K

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No97¢ → 99¢$6.9K+$176

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No@ 69¢$63h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No@ 83¢$3,3203h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$629h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$809h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$9279h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$2409h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$949h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$610h ago

BUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No@ 69¢$23311h ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 80¢$19111h ago

SELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes@ 16¢$64019h ago

BUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No@ 69¢$722h ago

BUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes@ 18¢$7201d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$2,0001d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$131d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$111d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$121d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$151d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$111d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$141d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$151d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$131d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$141d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$101d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$151d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$221d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$251d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$131d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$1971d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$481d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$1691d ago

SELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No@ 100¢$4941d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$281d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$3761d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$191d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before September 30, 2026No@ 94¢$2131d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$2,4882d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$292d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$622d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$4482d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$62d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?No@ 78¢$92d ago

BUYWill Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?No@ 69¢$62d ago

SELLWill Russia invade another country in 2026?No@ 95¢$2002d ago

BUYRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes@ 59¢$2,5083d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 50¢$1,8724d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 50¢$984d ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 50¢$304d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$1255d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$45d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$7905d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$1885d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$85d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$185d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$155d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$355d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$3585d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$825d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$725d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$565d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$195d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 79¢$8,3435d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$2,7106d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$166d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$406d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$106d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$4826d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$486d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$2,0006d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$476d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$3816d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$2386d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$266d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$1006d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$16d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$4206d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$3696d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 21¢$1166d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$1577d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$2797d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$3507d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$527d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$2687d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 35¢$5457d ago

SELLPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No@ 94¢$8,7557d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 86¢$1,0327d ago

BUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?No@ 86¢$1,0327d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo@ 87¢$27d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo@ 87¢$1,3387d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo@ 87¢$1,7057d ago

SELLCuban regime falls in 2026?No@ 91¢$1,9107d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseNo@ 88¢$2,9928d ago

SELLCuban regime falls in 2026?No@ 91¢$1828d ago

SELLCuban regime falls in 2026?No@ 91¢$18d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 46¢$2,0018d ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes@ 22¢$5508d ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes@ 86¢$1,0029d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 58¢$22410d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 58¢$8910d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

26Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 91¢$50126d ago

33Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 97¢$1,00027d ago

Not investment advice.