Ordon 0x8ebf…83ce

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funded by 0xe4a7…b84b

Sharp Score

48.0

Win Rate

70.6%

PnL 90d

+$1.3K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

163

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)58 × 25%

Win Rate47 × 15%

Sizing Discipline4 × 15%

Longevity / Activity82 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 163 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$1.3K

Capital Deployed

$179K

Resolved

163

Win Rate

70.6%

Excess Win

-22.1

Avg Entry

93¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$83 — Israel closes its airspace by September 30?Worst: −$191 — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?

Open Positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50¢ → 78¢$109K+$39.1K

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50¢ → 22¢$30.9K−$39.1K

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No91¢ → 96¢$957+$43

Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No84¢ → 84¢$426−$1

Will Sneako be deported in 2026?No95¢ → 94¢$187−$2

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No@ 84¢$4056h ago

SELLWill Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?No@ 100¢$7571d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?No@ 99¢$4041d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Software" during September Press Conference?No@ 95¢$3321d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September Press Conference?No@ 62¢$191d ago

BUYFed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?Yes@ 100¢$2,7971d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes@ 100¢$501d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes@ 100¢$52d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 7¢$672d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 7¢$322d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 6¢$312d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$192d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$182d ago

BUYClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes@ 5¢$12d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 5¢$43d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 5¢$13d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 5¢$63d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$143d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$43d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$4633d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$183d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$13d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$643d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$763d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$183d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$4163d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$363d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$283d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$203d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$1043d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$53d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$4743d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 95¢$53d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$5793d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 4¢$223d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$7523d ago

BUYWill Sneako be deported in 2026?No@ 94¢$683d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$1,4793d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$2073d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$23d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$9263d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$4703d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 94¢$753d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 93¢$283d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 93¢$1,0863d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 5¢$2223d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 97¢$483d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 97¢$3513d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 97¢$6863d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes@ 96¢$6,6753d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 2¢$1963d ago

BUYWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?No@ 86¢$1035d ago

BUYWill Monero hit $1000 in 2026?No@ 84¢$156d ago

BUYMap 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under@ 49¢$327d ago

BUYGames Total: O/U 2.5Over@ 49¢$607d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 54¢$418d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 63¢$808d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$1508d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$18d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$08d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$2858d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$08d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$148d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$308d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$2958d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 57¢$288d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$2578d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$58d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$198d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$08d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$718d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$308d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$128d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$58d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 59¢$2938d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$608d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 60¢$3008d ago

SELLLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No@ 49¢$498d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$318d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$188d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$88d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$308d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$38d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$138d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$1318d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 67¢$1018d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?No@ 46¢$468d ago

SELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 75¢$108d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No@ 75¢$38d ago

BUYW35 Reus: Freya Peet vs Katherine HuiKatherine Hui@ 49¢$38d ago

BUYSet Handicap: Noguchi (-1.5) vs Jasika (+1.5)Jasika@ 100¢$458d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

41Missouri State Team Total: O/U 1.5OVER @ 99¢$4,94911d ago

43Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5UNDER @ 100¢$4,99427d ago

24Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5UNDER @ 100¢$55527d ago

25Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5OVER @ 100¢$55546d ago

Not investment advice.