CaballoParaguallo 0x91ad…a5ca

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funded by 0x0b5c…db2a

Sharp Score

46.2

Win Rate

8.2%

PnL 90d

−$2.1K

Avg CLV

+4.5¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value59 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)41 × 25%

Win Rate23 × 15%

Sizing Discipline21 × 15%

Longevity / Activity88 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 49 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$2.1K

Capital Deployed

$7.3K

Resolved

Win Rate

8.2%

Excess Win

-13.4

Avg Entry

22¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$858 — Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Worst: −$423 — Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?

Open Positions

Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No29¢ → 50¢$2K+$841

Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes0¢ → 0¢$48−$48

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes11¢ → 11¢$21−$1

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes13¢ → 11¢$21−$5

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes35¢ → 36¢$13+$0

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 54¢$927m ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 54¢$1427m ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes@ 46¢$1027m ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes@ 57¢$1328m ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 52¢$533m ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 42¢$18057m ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 33¢$185h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 32¢$35h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 31¢$237h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$117h ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 54¢$320h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 32¢$521h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 31¢$2921h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 31¢$1721h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 30¢$1522h ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 11¢$1622h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 30¢$1522h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$1423h ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$121d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$141d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 28¢$221d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 26¢$261d ago

SELLWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 53¢$371d ago

SELLAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 89¢$1042d ago

SELLAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 75¢$42d ago

SELLAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 75¢$522d ago

SELLAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 76¢$462d ago

SELLWill Pablo Marçal finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 1¢$122d ago

BUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 72¢$602d ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 12¢$62d ago

BUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 70¢$522d ago

BUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 68¢$302d ago

BUYAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?No@ 68¢$342d ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 52¢$343d ago

BUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 52¢$23d ago

BUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes@ 0¢$203d ago

BUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 35¢$123d ago

BUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 30¢$103d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 13¢$263d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 22¢$114d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$184d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 30¢$414d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 30¢$114d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 30¢$94d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 26¢$284d ago

SELLWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 26¢$395d ago

BUYWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 7¢$55d ago

SELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 28¢$45d ago

BUYWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 8¢$1615d ago

BUYWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 8¢$1275d ago

SELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 34¢$175d ago

SELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$1195d ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 12¢$1445d ago

SELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 34¢$215d ago

SELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$86d ago

SELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 28¢$256d ago

SELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 28¢$276d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 1¢$786d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 2¢$16d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 28¢$46d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 28¢$26d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$06d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 29¢$86d ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$466d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 13¢$266d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 6¢$246d ago

BUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 29¢$236d ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$266d ago

BUYWill Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 8¢$1196d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 33¢$616d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 6¢$636d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 6¢$136d ago

BUYWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 6¢$146d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 33¢$926d ago

BUYWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 37¢$406d ago

BUYWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$566d ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 14¢$1406d ago

BUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 28¢$346d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 32¢$66d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 32¢$76d ago

BUYWill Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?No@ 32¢$166d ago

SELLUS Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff@ 40¢$3366d ago

SELLUS Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff@ 41¢$666d ago

SELLUS Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff@ 35¢$4206d ago

SELLUS Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff@ 35¢$4446d ago

BUYUS Open WTA: Coco Gauff vs Elena RybakinaCoco Gauff@ 9¢$4566d ago

SELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes@ 28¢$97d ago

SELLWill Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes@ 38¢$117d ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes@ 35¢$27d ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes@ 13¢$127d ago

SELLWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 36¢$1757d ago

SELLWill Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 35¢$887d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5 AND Patriots vs. Seahawks@ 21¢$257d ago

SELLCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersCincinnati Reds@ 2¢$227d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersCincinnati Reds@ 29¢$1227d ago

SELLWill Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes@ 6¢$1347d ago

BUYCincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersCincinnati Reds@ 28¢$1947d ago

SELLWill Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes@ 9¢$2097d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

34Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 98¢$1,0937d ago

Not investment advice.