The-Joker 0x9aeb…2729

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xf504…e222(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

60.8

Win Rate

68.8%

PnL 90d

+$109K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

125

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)95 × 25%

Win Rate63 × 15%

Sizing Discipline5 × 15%

Longevity / Activity95 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 125 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$109K

Capital Deployed

$129K

Resolved

125

Win Rate

68.8%

Excess Win

+6.2

Avg Entry

63¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$4.2K — US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben SheltonWorst: −$1.9K — Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)

Open Positions

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes87¢ → 98¢$19.6K+$2.2K

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No98¢ → 99¢$4.9K+$44

US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes53¢ → 100¢$4.5K+$2.1K

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No78¢ → 96¢$3.8K+$718

Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes44¢ → 60¢$3.7K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 90¢$21810m ago

SELLWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?Yes@ 7¢$5331m ago

BUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes@ 49¢$48618h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 94¢$93918h ago

BUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes@ 73¢$41d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 91¢$2631d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?No@ 95¢$431d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?No@ 92¢$461d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Inflation" 40+ times during September Press Conference?No@ 77¢$1651d ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$81d ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$1891d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 100¢$19,9811d ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?Yes@ 17¢$1271d ago

BUYWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$251d ago

BUYWill Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?No@ 61¢$371d ago

BUYWill four or more people dissent the September Fed decision?No@ 92¢$4561d ago

BUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?Yes@ 93¢$2791d ago

BUYWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$01d ago

BUYWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$71d ago

BUYWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$11d ago

BUYUS recession by end of 2026?No@ 82¢$3541d ago

BUYUS recession by end of 2026?No@ 82¢$51d ago

BUYUS recession by end of 2026?No@ 82¢$1,2751d ago

BUYUS recession by end of 2026?No@ 82¢$41d ago

BUYWill no one dissent the September Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$1801d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?No@ 64¢$6021d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?No@ 78¢$7951d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 56¢$2871d ago

BUYUS recession by end of 2026?No@ 82¢$31d ago

BUYWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens by September 15, 2026?Yes@ 85¢$851d ago

BUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?Yes@ 69¢$6901d ago

BUYSpread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros@ 67¢$8731d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 39¢$3291d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 39¢$1601d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No@ 30¢$171d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 63¢$32d ago

SELLWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 60¢$3,4692d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1520 by December 31?No@ 12¢$172d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 18¢$2212d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 18¢$3072d ago

SELLSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 3¢$142d ago

SELLSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 3¢$352d ago

BUYBroncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5Under@ 50¢$32d ago

BUYBroncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 46.5Under@ 50¢$1,0022d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$7723d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes@ 93¢$9313d ago

BUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No@ 58¢$2373d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes@ 97¢$2,4323d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes@ 97¢$9933d ago

BUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No@ 99¢$1,3023d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes@ 95¢$2,2543d ago

BUYWill US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by September 25, 2026?No@ 44¢$3723d ago

BUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?Yes@ 90¢$3193d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 14¢$143d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 14¢$1273d ago

BUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?No@ 12¢$943d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$243d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$193d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$143d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$73d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$713d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$23d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$53d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$193d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$183d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$683d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$53d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$23d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$23d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$573d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$53d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$213d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$1033d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$2933d ago

BUYSpread: Chiefs (-2.5)Broncos@ 50¢$103d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

36Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)HOUSTON ASTROS @ 67¢$8731d ago

42Toronto Blue Jays vs. Kansas City RoyalsTORONTO BLUE JAYS @ 55¢$2,20012d ago

35Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSAN FRANCISCO GIANTS @ 98¢$98020d ago

23Cincinnati Open: Novak Djokovic vs Thiago Agustin TiranteNOVAK DJOKOVIC @ 73¢$52533d ago

Not investment advice.