Moonshot1019 0x9c98…f4f4

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xf70d…dbef

Sharp Score

61.5

Win Rate

59.8%

PnL 90d

+$89.7K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

241

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)96 × 25%

Win Rate46 × 15%

Sizing Discipline26 × 15%

Longevity / Activity92 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 241 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$89.7K

Capital Deployed

$693K

Resolved

241

Win Rate

59.8%

Excess Win

-14.4

Avg Entry

74¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$23.7K — US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Worst: −$7.2K — 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?

Open Positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No81¢ → 88¢$42.9K+$3.4K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No95¢ → 97¢$27.5K+$386

Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No71¢ → 96¢$18K+$4.7K

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No95¢ → 97¢$15.5K+$309

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No91¢ → 90¢$15.1K−$90

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 98¢$3,3306d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 98¢$1,8266d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 38¢$4,7166d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 37¢$1676d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 37¢$946d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 37¢$26d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 37¢$7586d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 93¢$2,3446d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 92¢$4,4656d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 98¢$1,6446d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 97¢$3,8976d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 37¢$3,3306d ago

SELLLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes@ 9¢$6857d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 46¢$5,0607d ago

SELLLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes@ 24¢$1,3397d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes@ 93¢$288d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes@ 94¢$2,0218d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes@ 92¢$7548d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes@ 89¢$1,0468d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes@ 88¢$10,0438d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes@ 46¢$1,8408d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes@ 48¢$2,4008d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes@ 41¢$1,6968d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?Yes@ 86¢$1,0378d ago

BUYLAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?Yes@ 94¢$6178d ago

SELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$1,74010d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$1411d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$21211d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$3812d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$10012d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$14212d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$12912d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$2612d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$1012d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$2012d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 77¢$9412d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$48612d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$612d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$1412d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$112d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?Yes@ 87¢$1,23212d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 82¢$98412d ago

SELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 13¢$1,95112d ago

SELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 15¢$73312d ago

BUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No@ 77¢$7,97012d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$13113d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$15613d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$12313d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$77613d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$2113d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$35914d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$714d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$214d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$314d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$814d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 14¢$3914d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 16¢$1,85814d ago

BUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No@ 15¢$82214d ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No@ 91¢$8,21514d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$9,64015d ago

BUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No@ 96¢$10,66815d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 81¢$5,80215d ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No@ 90¢$6,95915d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$6216d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$20316d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$10916d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$43216d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$10116d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$78016d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 82¢$6,10716d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 78¢$016d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$3116d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 91¢$2,18816d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 81¢$15,69216d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No@ 79¢$9,32717d ago

SELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 46¢$5,46517d ago

BUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No@ 18¢$61721d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No@ 85¢$1,70021d ago

BUYRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No@ 85¢$85023d ago

BUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No@ 26¢$78023d ago

BUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes@ 93¢$3,95523d ago

BUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?No@ 27¢$1,84523d ago

BUYUS ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?Yes@ 93¢$5,58023d ago

BUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes@ 68¢$8,00027d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No@ 97¢$1,97327d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 93¢$4,86627d ago

BUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No@ 97¢$1,69827d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 93¢$27927d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 93¢$3,44127d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 92¢$97527d ago

BUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No@ 94¢$5,86927d ago

BUYNATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?No@ 94¢$14327d ago

SELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No@ 100¢$10,69527d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 82¢$3,20030d ago

BUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No@ 80¢$2,37030d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No@ 90¢$1,26030d ago

BUYUS announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No@ 90¢$9,00030d ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No@ 94¢$72830d ago

SELLWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?No@ 100¢$16,50730d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

35Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5)PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES @ 49¢$1,00041d ago

34Chicago White Sox vs. Boston Red SoxCHICAGO WHITE SOX @ 81¢$1,00041d ago

25New York Mets vs. Cleveland GuardiansCLEVELAND GUARDIANS @ 54¢$50042d ago

25Athletics vs. Cincinnati RedsATHLETICS @ 40¢$50042d ago

37Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)BALTIMORE ORIOLES @ 49¢$1,00042d ago

33Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsCHICAGO CUBS @ 53¢$1,00043d ago

34Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsCHICAGO CUBS @ 53¢$1,00043d ago

32Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago CubsLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 65¢$1,00044d ago

37Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 58¢$1,00044d ago

35Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee BrewersPITTSBURGH PIRATES @ 43¢$1,00045d ago

35Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBOSTON RED SOX @ 66¢$1,00045d ago

36Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 61¢$1,00047d ago

33Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles AngelsMILWAUKEE BREWERS @ 58¢$1,00047d ago

38New York Yankees vs. Chicago CubsCHICAGO CUBS @ 53¢$1,00047d ago

33Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay RaysTAMPA BAY RAYS @ 61¢$1,00047d ago

26Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle MarinersMINNESOTA TWINS @ 36¢$50047d ago

38Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)MILWAUKEE BREWERS @ 56¢$1,00047d ago

36Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersLOS ANGELES DODGERS @ 56¢$1,00047d ago

Not investment advice.