Paul973973 0xa108…abd3

View on Polymarket ↗

Sharp Score

39.9

Win Rate

89.7%

PnL 90d

−$4.6K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

329

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)32 × 25%

Win Rate47 × 15%

Sizing Discipline2 × 15%

Longevity / Activity71 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 329 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$4.6K

Capital Deployed

$248K

Resolved

329

Win Rate

89.7%

Excess Win

-2.2

Avg Entry

92¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$1.5K — Fed rate hike in 2026?Worst: −$311 — Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?

Open Positions

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No95¢ → 99¢$37.1K+$1.7K

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?Anthropic87¢ → 94¢$17.3K+$1.4K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No94¢ → 94¢$11.9K−$64

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No97¢ → 98¢$7.1K+$116

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes82¢ → 87¢$7.1K+$361

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No88¢ → 100¢$6.8K+$815

Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes89¢ → 88¢$6.6K−$127

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No80¢ → 95¢$4.2K+$676

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes96¢ → 100¢$3.2K+$116

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15?No99¢ → 100¢$3K+$25

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No95¢ → 95¢$3K−$16

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No96¢ → 98¢$2.6K+$70

OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027?No76¢ → 95¢$2.5K+$509

Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes99¢ → 100¢$2.4K+$32

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?No90¢ → 100¢$2.2K+$206

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No91¢ → 97¢$2.1K+$144

Will GameStop acquire eBay?No87¢ → 93¢$2.1K+$126

SpaceX IPO: Officially added to S&P 500 in 2026?No91¢ → 99¢$2K+$175

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No95¢ → 97¢$1.5K+$30

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes48¢ → 57¢$1.3K+$215

0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?No99¢ → 97¢$1.2K−$20

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No75¢ → 85¢$1.1K+$135

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No93¢ → 97¢$1K+$47

Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes28¢ → 20¢$431−$189

Will Anthropic's public ticker be $CLAU?No98¢ → 100¢$408+$8

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYTiburon: Ryan Seggerman vs Mitchell KruegerMitchell Krueger@ 96¢$4001h ago

BUYWill Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 96¢$1001h ago

BUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 99¢$2,0002h ago

BUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 98¢$4002h ago

BUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 97¢$1,0002h ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No@ 94¢$2,0002h ago

BUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 97¢$2,0002h ago

BUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 81¢$1003h ago

BUYWill OFI win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 100¢$2,0003h ago

BUYWill OFI win on 2026-09-17?Yes@ 97¢$2003h ago

BUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No@ 99¢$3,3503h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 95¢$1003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 98¢$2003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 99¢$2003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 98¢$2003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 98¢$1003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 99¢$1003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 98¢$2003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 99¢$2003h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 96¢$1004h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 96¢$2004h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 96¢$1004h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 93¢$1004h ago

BUYSzczecin: Daniel Galan vs Nikolas Sanchez IzquierdoNikolas Sanchez Izquierdo@ 92¢$1004h ago

BUYWill at least 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$507h ago

BUY0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by September 30?No@ 99¢$1,2007h ago

BUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes@ 24¢$157h ago

BUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?No@ 90¢$1307h ago

BUYSzczecin: Filip Pieczonka vs Marco TrungellitiMarco Trungelliti@ 79¢$1007h ago

BUYRennes: Francesco Maestrelli vs Yanis DurandFrancesco Maestrelli@ 98¢$2007h ago

BUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No@ 95¢$3,0007h ago

BUYRennes: Adrian Mannarino vs Matisse BobichonAdrian Mannarino@ 82¢$1007h ago

BUYSzczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin MoellerMarco Cecchinato@ 99¢$1008h ago

BUYSzczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin MoellerMarco Cecchinato@ 100¢$3008h ago

BUYSzczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin MoellerMarco Cecchinato@ 99¢$2008h ago

BUYBiella: Alex Barrena vs Samuele PieriAlex Barrena@ 91¢$1008h ago

BUYSzczecin: Marco Cecchinato vs Marvin MoellerMarco Cecchinato@ 98¢$1009h ago

BUYGuangzhou: Alexandr Binda vs Fajing SunAlexandr Binda@ 97¢$20011h ago

BUYGuangzhou: James Kent Trotter vs Mitsuki Wei Kang LeongMitsuki Wei Kang Leong@ 100¢$1912h ago

BUYGuangzhou: Petr Bar Biryukov vs Naoya HondaPetr Bar Biryukov@ 98¢$20013h ago

BUYWill the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?No@ 95¢$15013h ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent BaxFlorent Bax@ 98¢$1,00016h ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent BaxFlorent Bax@ 98¢$60016h ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent BaxFlorent Bax@ 94¢$10016h ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Moise Kouame vs Filip PeliwoMoise Kouame@ 99¢$40018h ago

BUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-16?Yes@ 100¢$1,0001d ago

BUYSzczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian FeldbauschDiego Dedura-Palomero@ 90¢$1001d ago

BUYSzczecin: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Kilian FeldbauschDiego Dedura-Palomero@ 95¢$3001d ago

BUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?Yes@ 100¢$2,0001d ago

BUYWill Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-16?Yes@ 98¢$3001d ago

BUYExact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 0 CA Osasuna?No@ 90¢$2001d ago

BUYLjubljana: Anastasiia Sobolieva vs Denisa ZoldakovaAnastasiia Sobolieva@ 98¢$2001d ago

BUYLjubljana: Barbora Palicova vs Samira De StefanoSamira De Stefano@ 95¢$1001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 98¢$4001d ago

BUYRennes: Marek Gengel vs Tristan SchoolkateTristan Schoolkate@ 98¢$4001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 89¢$1001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 95¢$1001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 98¢$5001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 99¢$1001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 99¢$3001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 98¢$2001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 96¢$2001d ago

BUYBiella: Jay Clarke vs Petr BrunclikJay Clarke@ 95¢$1001d ago

BUYGuangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz BasilashviliNikoloz Basilashvili@ 95¢$1001d ago

BUYGuangzhou: Naoya Honda vs Nikoloz BasilashviliNikoloz Basilashvili@ 89¢$1001d ago

BUYFed rate hike in 2026?Yes@ 96¢$5001d ago

BUYFed rate hike in 2026?Yes@ 96¢$2001d ago

BUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No@ 100¢$20,0001d ago

BUYFed rate hike in 2026?Yes@ 96¢$7,6001d ago

BUYRennes: Maxime Janvier vs Sascha Gueymard-WayenburgSascha Gueymard-Wayenburg@ 98¢$4002d ago

BUYSzczecin: Hynek Barton vs Raul BrancaccioHynek Barton@ 96¢$2002d ago

BUYGuangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis GalarneauFajing Sun@ 92¢$2002d ago

BUYWill Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-14?Yes@ 97¢$1003d ago

BUYRennes: Ugo Blanchet vs Billy HarrisUgo Blanchet@ 92¢$1003d ago

BUYExact Score: FC Internazionale Milano 2 - 2 Udinese Calcio?No@ 92¢$503d ago

BUYFed rate hike in 2026?Yes@ 92¢$1,0003d ago

BUYSzczecin: Tom Gentzsch vs Alan WaznyTom Gentzsch@ 98¢$1003d ago

BUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-13?Yes@ 99¢$2003d ago

BUYWill FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-09-13?Yes@ 94¢$1003d ago

BUYWill FC Midtjylland win on 2026-09-14?Yes@ 91¢$1003d ago

BUYFed rate hike in 2026?Yes@ 93¢$5,0003d ago

BUYSzczecin: Thiago Monteiro vs Stefano TravagliaThiago Monteiro@ 99¢$3003d ago

BUYGuangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang XiaoColin Sinclair@ 94¢$2003d ago

BUYGuangzhou: Colin Sinclair vs Linang XiaoColin Sinclair@ 94¢$4003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Rodrigo Pacheco vs Sergio CallejonRodrigo Pacheco@ 86¢$1003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Dong Ju KimMartin Borisiouk@ 99¢$893d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 97¢$2003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 94¢$2003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 99¢$2003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 99¢$4003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 90¢$1003d ago

BUYPhan Thiet 4: Filip Peliwo vs Sam Ryan ZiegannFilip Peliwo@ 89¢$1003d ago

BUYGenoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Pedro MartinezThiago Seyboth Wild@ 99¢$1004d ago

BUYGenoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Pedro MartinezThiago Seyboth Wild@ 98¢$1004d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

35Como: Max Schoenhaus vs Matej DodigMATEJ DODIG @ 99¢$1,00013d ago

23Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5OVER @ 99¢$70024d ago

30Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 99¢$2,00025d ago

27Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York YankeesNEW YORK YANKEES @ 100¢$1,00025d ago

25Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 99¢$1,00025d ago

30Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 99¢$2,00025d ago

25Will AC Milan win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 99¢$1,00025d ago

27Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesTAMPA BAY RAYS @ 95¢$1,00025d ago

35St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesST. LOUIS CARDINALS @ 99¢$2,00025d ago

28St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesST. LOUIS CARDINALS @ 99¢$1,00025d ago

34Will Getafe CF win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 99¢$1,00025d ago

33Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?YES @ 99¢$1,00025d ago

40Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?YES @ 100¢$2,00025d ago

35Will Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?YES @ 100¢$1,20025d ago

29Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-23?YES @ 97¢$80025d ago

Not investment advice.