HerrieDavis 0xac4a…bf1e

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x1584…71b6(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

55.3

Win Rate

28.4%

PnL 90d

+$123K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)92 × 25%

Win Rate53 × 15%

Sizing Discipline8 × 15%

Longevity / Activity57 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 74 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$123K

Capital Deployed

$207K

Resolved

Win Rate

28.4%

Excess Win

-17.1

Avg Entry

45¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$1.6K — US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Worst: −$211 — Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?No94¢ → 98¢$16.9K+$573

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No51¢ → 87¢$15K+$6.2K

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?No49¢ → 71¢$13.5K+$4.2K

Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?No82¢ → 99¢$13K+$2.2K

Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No84¢ → 96¢$12.8K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes@ 94¢$4,2507m ago

BUYWill Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes@ 94¢$3477m ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?Yes@ 10¢$119m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Yes@ 12¢$121m ago

BUYWill Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 17¢$6527m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$027m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$030m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 1¢$130m ago

BUYWill "Day and Night" - Carly Rae Jepsen first week album sales be between 50k and 60k?Yes@ 7¢$143m ago

BUYRussia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?Yes@ 60¢$850m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 65¢$5857m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 67¢$7157m ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?Yes@ 13¢$141h ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 63¢$171h ago

BUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes@ 38¢$131h ago

BUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No@ 49¢$411h ago

BUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No@ 59¢$401h ago

BUYSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes@ 60¢$961h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?Yes@ 8¢$11h ago

BUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes@ 90¢$2031h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 80¢$461h ago

BUYFed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$52h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?Yes@ 7¢$42h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 32¢$752h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 33¢$362h ago

BUYWill Zack Polanski win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?Yes@ 15¢$262h ago

BUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No@ 13¢$53h ago

BUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No@ 21¢$533h ago

BUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No@ 26¢$743h ago

BUYWill Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026?No@ 29¢$113h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 63¢$33h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 7¢$63h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 67¢$353h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 66¢$243h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 68¢$543h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 73¢$393h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?No@ 70¢$573h ago

BUYWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 38¢$283h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 45¢$163h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Yes@ 50¢$1083h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?Yes@ 52¢$1233h ago

BUYKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?Yes@ 19¢$243h ago

BUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No@ 95¢$4283h ago

BUYWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 25¢$223h ago

BUYWill Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?No@ 56¢$1303h ago

BUYWill no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes@ 10¢$44h ago

BUYWill Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 87¢$1854h ago

BUYWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 32¢$294h ago

BUYWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 33¢$494h ago

BUYWill the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?No@ 34¢$394h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 35¢$1054h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 36¢$224h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 38¢$324h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 51¢$7524h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 54¢$2034h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 55¢$1314h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 51¢$1724h ago

BUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 53¢$9884h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 81¢$1464h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 54¢$185h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 63¢$215h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 65¢$695h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 74¢$1,2745h ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 75¢$1,9685h ago

BUYWill "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?Yes@ 7¢$35h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 87¢$1885h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 87¢$1575h ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes@ 76¢$315h ago

BUYWill J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 24¢$75h ago

BUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 15¢$255h ago

BUYWill Masoud Pezeshkian attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 17¢$85h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 10¢$85h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 20¢$95h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 20¢$785h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 21¢$145h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 20¢$1975h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Yes@ 20¢$85h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 9¢$325h ago

BUYWill J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 76¢$3486h ago

BUYWill J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 78¢$3036h ago

BUYWill J.D. Vance attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$686h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No@ 34¢$976h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 47¢$106h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No@ 47¢$276h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No@ 34¢$36h ago

BUYWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the United States by September 30, 2026?No@ 86¢$3766h ago

BUYWill Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?No@ 95¢$1,4006h ago

BUYWill Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes@ 11¢$1846h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No@ 62¢$706h ago

BUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?No@ 63¢$606h ago

BUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?No@ 6¢$486h ago

BUYWill Vinted be #3 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?Yes@ 55¢$626h ago

BUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes@ 4¢$56h ago

BUYWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 37¢$926h ago

BUYWill Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes@ 42¢$246h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

25Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NO @ 85¢$68364d ago

23Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NO @ 83¢$54364d ago

23Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?NO @ 84¢$56364d ago

Not investment advice.