cigarettes 0xd218…b5c9

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x7deb…7cda(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

41.8

Win Rate

25.0%

PnL 90d

+$1.3K

Avg CLV

-0.1¢

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)56 × 25%

Win Rate32 × 15%

Sizing Discipline15 × 15%

Longevity / Activity32 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 36 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$151

Capital Deployed

$144K

Resolved

Win Rate

76.0%

Excess Win

+3.0

Avg Entry

73¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$287 — NBA Summer League: Houston Rockets vs. Brooklyn NetsWorst: −$563 — Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffs

Open Positions

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No67¢ → 68¢$26.8K+$570

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes89¢ → 90¢$9.9K+$138

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No60¢ → 65¢$7.2K+$599

Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 The Open Championship?No95¢ → 98¢$6K+$237

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes12¢ → 39¢$5.6K+$3.9K

Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No95¢ → 100¢$5K+$229

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes15¢ → 58¢$3.4K+$2.6K

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes72¢ → 59¢$3.3K−$761

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes15¢ → 17¢$3.1K+$446

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 25¢$2.5K+$2.2K

Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes3¢ → 12¢$2.4K+$1.8K

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes22¢ → 42¢$2.1K+$1K

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes14¢ → 14¢$2K+$53

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes23¢ → 27¢$2K+$250

Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes2¢ → 3¢$1.3K+$421

Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0¢ → 2¢$726+$683

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No9¢ → 4¢$536−$582

Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes3¢ → 2¢$530−$105

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0¢ → 1¢$401+$357

PortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics7¢ → 2¢$269−$516

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 1¢$261−$391

Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0¢ → 1¢$259+$216

Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?Yes3¢ → 1¢$256−$501

Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0¢ → 1¢$226+$182

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes0¢ → 1¢$190+$147

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$124m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$44m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$184m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$24m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$124m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$24m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 4¢$64m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 3¢$16m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 3¢$36m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 2¢$16m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$77m ago

BUYLoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming@ 28¢$98m ago

BUYLoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming@ 28¢$118m ago

BUYLoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming@ 28¢$88m ago

BUYValorant: Sentinels vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group OmegaCloud9@ 44¢$228m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 9¢$519m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over@ 5¢$023m ago

BUYNBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State WarriorsNew York Knicks@ 19¢$1226m ago

BUYNBA Summer League: New York Knicks vs. Golden State WarriorsNew York Knicks@ 19¢$1026m ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes@ 16¢$75527m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over@ 14¢$1130m ago

BUYNew York Liberty vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 174.5Under@ 43¢$2130m ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over@ 22¢$131m ago

BUYLoL: Maryville University vs Dorado Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageDorado Gaming@ 32¢$1633m ago

BUYNBA Summer League: Denver Nuggets vs. Portland Trail BlazersDenver Nuggets@ 44¢$44041m ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 3¢$044m ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 2¢$144m ago

BUYNBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat@ 35¢$7045m ago

BUYNBA Summer League: Miami Heat vs. Toronto RaptorsMiami Heat@ 35¢$28045m ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 4¢$247m ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 3¢$247m ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 96¢$44553m ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 14¢$757m ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 24¢$158m ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 83¢$8359m ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 84¢$4259m ago

BUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak@ 9¢$31h ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 13¢$11h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 8¢$01h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 8¢$31h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 8¢$01h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 93¢$6651h ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 15¢$71h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 5¢$31h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes@ 16¢$321h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 83¢$241h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 79¢$401h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 79¢$51h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes@ 16¢$111h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes@ 16¢$161h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$4621h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$41h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$701h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$1511h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$71h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 7¢$41h ago

BUYFrance vs. England: France O/U 0.5Under@ 11¢$1001h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 14¢$41h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington MysticsWashington Mystics@ 14¢$31h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over@ 26¢$111h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 75¢$1131h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 75¢$751h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 75¢$381h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 163.5Over@ 26¢$71h ago

BUYPortlandFire vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 166.5Over@ 24¢$01h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 30¢$571h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$301h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$371h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$731h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$1821h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$71h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 73¢$11h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 26¢$71h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaFURIA Esports@ 26¢$61h ago

BUYLincoln: Yibing Wu vs Yunchaokete BuYibing Wu@ 44¢$221h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 36¢$181h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 29¢$291h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 29¢$231h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 29¢$21h ago

BUYPozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan ValienteDominik Palan@ 0¢$01h ago

BUYPozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan ValienteDominik Palan@ 1¢$01h ago

BUYPozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan ValienteIzan Almazan Valiente@ 94¢$471h ago

BUYPozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan ValienteDominik Palan@ 1¢$01h ago

BUYITF Rochester: Axel Nefve vs Nathan CoxNathan Cox@ 30¢$151h ago

BUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak@ 8¢$201h ago

BUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak@ 8¢$151h ago

BUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak@ 8¢$41h ago

BUYValorant: Leviatán Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group AlphaLeviatán Esports@ 58¢$291h ago

BUYCounter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs Mindfreak (BO1) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak@ 8¢$41h ago

BUYPozoblanco: Dominik Palan vs Izan Almazan ValienteIzan Almazan Valiente@ 96¢$481h ago

BUYWill LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?Yes@ 31¢$941h ago

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Prints on Our Tape

47Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?YES @ 27¢$1,1791d ago

Not investment advice.