CosmicCedar 0xdacf…3c74

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0xf70d…dbef

Sharp Score

47.0

Win Rate

92.6%

PnL 90d

+$1.2K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

459

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)58 × 25%

Win Rate57 × 15%

Sizing Discipline2 × 15%

Longevity / Activity61 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 459 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$1.2K

Capital Deployed

$35.5K

Resolved

459

Win Rate

92.6%

Excess Win

-5.6

Avg Entry

98¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$127 — Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?Worst: −$9 — Will Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?

Open Positions

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No76¢ → 84¢$5K+$450

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill CJ Abrams hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$012h ago

SELLWill Brandon Lowe hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$012h ago

SELLWill Munetaka Murakami hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$012h ago

SELLWill Juan Soto hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$012h ago

SELLWill Shohei Ohtani hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$012h ago

BUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?Yes@ 0¢$014h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on September 17, 2026?No@ 96¢$4016h ago

BUYWill Jaume Martinez Vich advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?No@ 45¢$917h ago

BUYWill Andrei Daescu advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?No@ 43¢$917h ago

BUYWill Jaume Martinez Vich / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 89¢$18417h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 82¢$3317h ago

BUYWill there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 12¢$517h ago

BUYWill Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$4917h ago

BUYWill Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?No@ 100¢$39117h ago

BUYWill Sarah Jane Nader be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes@ 99¢$14319h ago

BUYWill Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$3319h ago

BUYWill Giada De Laurentiis be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$14819h ago

BUYWill Sarah Jane Nader be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes@ 99¢$3319h ago

BUYWill Ciara Miller be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$8319h ago

BUYWill Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$8319h ago

BUYWill Maura Higgins be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$8319h ago

BUYWill Kansas City Royals advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No@ 100¢$25320h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on September 17, 2026?No@ 99¢$39322h ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released on or prior to September 16, 2026?No@ 99¢$522h ago

SELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 90¢$511d ago

SELLWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 90¢$591d ago

BUYWill Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Yes@ 78¢$3511d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026?No@ 81¢$8321d ago

BUYWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026?No@ 85¢$5511d ago

BUYWill Houston Astros win the 2026 AL West title?Yes@ 71¢$4431d ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 87¢$441d ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 87¢$221d ago

BUYWill the Lions vs Bills game not air?No@ 99¢$4361d ago

BUYWill Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 83¢$6591d ago

BUYWill Connor Wood be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$5041d ago

BUYWill Guillermo Rodriguez be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$4961d ago

BUYWill Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$5041d ago

BUYWill Taylor Hanson be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$4961d ago

BUYWill Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$4941d ago

BUYWill Conner Leavitt be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?Yes@ 99¢$831d ago

BUYWill Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?No@ 100¢$6151d ago

BUYWill the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 80.5@ 49¢$101d ago

BUYWill the Texas Rangers win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 80.5@ 46¢$181d ago

SELLWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?No@ 64¢$321d ago

BUYWill Miranda McWhorter be cast in Dancing With the Stars: Season 35?No@ 99¢$291d ago

SELLWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?No@ 64¢$131d ago

BUYWill Parris Todd / Andrei Daescu advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 99¢$1981d ago

BUYWill Kaitlyn Christian advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 100¢$1271d ago

BUYWill Catherine Parenteau advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 99¢$1981d ago

BUYWill Anna Leigh Waters advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 97¢$1171d ago

BUYWill Rachel Rohrabacher / Christian Alshon advance to the Round of 16 in Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 94¢$3251d ago

BUYWill Eric Oncins / Noe Khlif advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 98¢$2391d ago

BUYWill Andrei Daescu / Christian Alshon advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 98¢$2391d ago

BUYWill CJ Klinger / Camden Chaffin advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 98¢$2391d ago

BUYWill Ben Johns / Federico Staksrud advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 98¢$2441d ago

BUYWill Lacy Schneemann / Tina Pisnik advance to the Round of 16 in Women's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?Yes@ 92¢$3611d ago

BUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 83.5@ 1¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 83.5@ 1¢$11d ago

BUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 83.5@ 1¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?U 83.5@ 91¢$7061d ago

BUYWill Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2026 NL West title?No@ 100¢$171d ago

BUYWill Jeff Leiper win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes@ 13¢$62d ago

BUYWill Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?Yes@ 78¢$342d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 6?No@ 72¢$332d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 8?No@ 60¢$1682d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?Yes@ 16¢$222d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 18?Yes@ 60¢$122d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 17?Yes@ 57¢$112d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 16?Yes@ 48¢$102d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 14?Yes@ 52¢$102d ago

BUYWill Chipotle give out less than 2,500 BOGOs during the 2026 US Open?No@ 99¢$542d ago

BUYWill Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title?Yes@ 69¢$2142d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?Yes@ 10¢$12d ago

BUYWill Derrick Henry be the highest-scoring RB in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL season?Yes@ 98¢$932d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 10?Yes@ 53¢$112d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 10?Yes@ 53¢$632d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 7?No@ 57¢$682d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 11?Yes@ 53¢$112d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 12?Yes@ 56¢$112d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 13?Yes@ 48¢$102d ago

BUYWill Fernando Mendoza be named the Raiders' starting QB by Week 15?Yes@ 46¢$92d ago

BUYWill the Broncos win the season series against the Chiefs during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 100¢$3022d ago

SELLWill Mike Trout hit the most home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?Yes@ 0¢$02d ago

BUYWill the Cincinnati Reds clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?No@ 100¢$2702d ago

BUYWill New York Mets advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No@ 100¢$5042d ago

BUYWill Cincinnati Reds advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No@ 100¢$4232d ago

BUYWill New York Mets advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No@ 100¢$4932d ago

BUYWill Cincinnati Reds advance to the NLCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?No@ 99¢$3082d ago

BUYWill Jahmyr Gibbs finish Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing yards?Yes@ 1¢$02d ago

BUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 75.5@ 97¢$52d ago

BUYWill the St. Louis Cardinals win more than 75.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?O 75.5@ 98¢$4622d ago

BUYWill Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No@ 98¢$1222d ago

BUYWill Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season?No@ 98¢$3042d ago

SELLWill the Chicago Cubs win more than 86.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?U 86.5@ 1¢$02d ago

BUYWill South Park episode not air?No@ 98¢$942d ago

BUYWill the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Broncos vs Chiefs game?Yes@ 99¢$3232d ago

BUYWill the announcers say "Safety" during the Broncos vs Chiefs game?Yes@ 99¢$842d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

38Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season?YES @ 96¢$2,00524d ago

40Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 100¢$1,63727d ago

26Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5)PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES @ 100¢$65443d ago

59Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-7.5)PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES @ 100¢$5,549Fresh wallet43d ago

Not investment advice.