aff3 0xe52c…6924

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x3f77…fc32

Sharp Score

57.6

Win Rate

100.0%

PnL 90d

+$48.5K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)81 × 25%

Win Rate61 × 15%

Sizing Discipline13 × 15%

Longevity / Activity87 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 43 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$48.5K

Capital Deployed

$1.4M

Resolved

Win Rate

100.0%

Excess Win

+11.5

Avg Entry

88¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$9.8K — Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Worst: −$11.6K — Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Open Positions

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No85¢ → 75¢$154K−$20.9K

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No87¢ → 94¢$132K+$9.1K

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No90¢ → 95¢$77.4K+$3.8K

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes87¢ → 90¢$39.4K+$1.1K

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No96¢ → 95¢$17.6K−$99

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$221h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$51d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$111d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$1,0051d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$91d ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Yes@ 67¢$1021d ago

SELLWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$21d ago

SELLWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$641d ago

SELLWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$02d ago

SELLWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$502d ago

SELLWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$22d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 83¢$9,6732d ago

SELLWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$7173d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$1083d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2463d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$83d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2,2963d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2,2583d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$213d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$673d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$683d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$234d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$464d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$234d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$224d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$324d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$254d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$6564d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$5,4674d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$224d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$144d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$464d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$4564d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$8404d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$5244d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$94d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$1184d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$5504d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$84d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2464d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$824d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2,0214d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$4564d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$214d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$2894d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$424d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$8364d ago

SELLWill the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes@ 38¢$435d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$15d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$05d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$55d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$35d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$05d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 82¢$875d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 83¢$675d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 83¢$85d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 83¢$425d ago

SELLClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No@ 83¢$3,4905d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$4155d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$2,4905d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$865d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$755d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$86d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$1236d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$436d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$836d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$3426d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$1666d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$56d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$8836d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$506d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$246d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$5226d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$56d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$1796d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$8896d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$2496d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$1936d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$986d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$2496d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$4886d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$986d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$1466d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$4886d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$3326d ago

BUYFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?No@ 83¢$406d ago

BUYWill SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No@ 86¢$146d ago

BUYWill SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No@ 86¢$1207d ago

BUYWill SPD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?No@ 86¢$97d ago

BUYWill AfD be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?Yes@ 44¢$367d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

48Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 95¢$6,74523d ago

50Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 94¢$15,29227d ago

47Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 98¢$14,41429d ago

47Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open?NO @ 98¢$14,83629d ago

Not investment advice.