elmcap2 0xed10…d2e5

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funded by 0x07b0…f528

Sharp Score

54.6

Win Rate

85.7%

PnL 90d

+$209K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)74 × 25%

Win Rate57 × 15%

Sizing Discipline26 × 15%

Longevity / Activity61 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 14 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$209K

Capital Deployed

$13.1M

Resolved

Win Rate

85.7%

Excess Win

-1.9

Avg Entry

88¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$23K — Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Worst: −$6.3K — UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Umar Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Main Card)

Open Positions

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No50¢ → 78¢$4.1M+$1.5M

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes50¢ → 22¢$1.2M−$1.5M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No97¢ → 99¢$306K+$6.6K

Trump out as President before 2027?No92¢ → 95¢$264K+$7.2K

Trump out as President by September 30?No99¢ → 99¢$241K+$1.2K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 86¢$01h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 86¢$1861h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 87¢$8701h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$1221h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$1,0136h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$3,9478h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$2,4838h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$3308h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$1,6928h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 100¢$4988h ago

BUYWill Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?No@ 100¢$1,9909h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$3679h ago

BUYWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No@ 99¢$9911h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$714h ago

SELLOpensea FDV above $2B one day after launch?No@ 94¢$4,20515h ago

BUYWill Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?No@ 99¢$4215h ago

BUYWill Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$015h ago

BUYWill Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$12715h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$63915h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$015h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$215h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$37,45315h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$015h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$416h ago

BUYWill Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$516h ago

BUYWill Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?No@ 99¢$518h ago

BUYTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No@ 98¢$7019h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$120h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$2720h ago

BUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No@ 88¢$17620h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$80421h ago

BUYWill Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?No@ 99¢$3022h ago

BUYGTA VI released by October 31?No@ 98¢$522h ago

BUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?No@ 94¢$42622h ago

BUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by November 30?No@ 95¢$9922h ago

BUYLisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?No@ 100¢$99522h ago

BUYWill Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?No@ 96¢$16122h ago

BUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No@ 97¢$56322h ago

BUYTrump out as President before 2027?No@ 93¢$3,50022h ago

BUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No@ 96¢$6,79322h ago

BUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes@ 97¢$44822h ago

BUYWill the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?Yes@ 98¢$14522h ago

BUYFloyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2Mayweather@ 49¢$122h ago