WarriorH 0xeed8…35f0

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x3a3b…02e2(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

50.0

Win Rate

—

PnL 90d

+$74.8K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)50 × 25%

Win Rate50 × 15%

Sizing Discipline50 × 15%

Longevity / Activity50 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 0 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$74.8K

Capital Deployed

$111K

Resolved

Win Rate

—

Excess Win

—

Avg Entry

—

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$10.7K — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Worst: −$10.7K — Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Open Positions

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Yes12¢ → 11¢$377−$54

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseYes10¢ → 11¢$230+$1

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20¢ → 1¢$33−$975

Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes2¢ → 1¢$24−$3

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes20¢ → 0¢$22−$1.2K

Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 1¢$18−$58

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseYes10¢ → 1¢$16−$209

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$14−$266

Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$10−$757

Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes4¢ → 0¢$9−$656

Will Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$8−$531

Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes10¢ → 0¢$8−$1.6K

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes10¢ → 0¢$8−$1.6K

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes10¢ → 0¢$8−$1.6K

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$7−$479

Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes3¢ → 0¢$7−$402

Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes8¢ → 0¢$6−$947

Will Bruno Fernandes win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2¢ → 0¢$6−$210

Will Luis Diaz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2¢ → 0¢$6−$210

Will Vinícius Júnior win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes2¢ → 0¢$6−$210

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 25¢$51m ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 76¢$111m ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 76¢$41m ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 76¢$151m ago

BUYWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No@ 39¢$1031m ago

BUYWill an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 62¢$1641m ago

BUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September?No@ 71¢$191m ago

BUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?No@ 87¢$231m ago

BUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?No@ 52¢$141m ago

BUYWill Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in September?No@ 91¢$251m ago

SELLWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes@ 49¢$92m ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No@ 37¢$12m ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?No@ 37¢$112m ago

BUYWill OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Yes@ 64¢$472m ago

BUYWill the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 950m and 960m by September 30?Yes@ 39¢$93m ago

BUYWill MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 40 and 45 million views in week 1?Yes@ 19¢$45m ago

BUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 20¢$47m ago

BUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No@ 81¢$47m ago

BUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?No@ 61¢$427m ago

BUYWill the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 59¢$257m ago

BUYSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No@ 41¢$5211m ago

BUYSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?No@ 41¢$2911m ago

BUYSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes@ 61¢$12012m ago

SELLWill JOLTS Job Openings be below 7.0M in August?Yes@ 23¢$116m ago

BUYWill Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election?No@ 68¢$1416m ago

SELLWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 0¢$017m ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$118m ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$120m ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$121m ago

BUYWill AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Yes@ 18¢$921m ago

BUYWill AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?No@ 83¢$4321m ago

SELLWill the Riemann Hypothesis be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Yes@ 0¢$022m ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 77¢$924m ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 77¢$1024m ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 78¢$224m ago

BUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?Yes@ 32¢$7925m ago

BUYWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?No@ 69¢$17025m ago

SELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Yes@ 1¢$1228m ago

SELLWill Patrick Paquet win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?Yes@ 41¢$729m ago

SELLWill BSW win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 0¢$030m ago

BUYWill the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 80¢$13231m ago

BUYWill the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?No@ 20¢$3331m ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No@ 50¢$44132m ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes@ 5¢$1434m ago

BUYWill Lindsay Clancy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?Yes@ 10¢$134m ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 96¢$30234m ago

BUYWill Lindsay Clancy be the #2 searched person on Google this year?No@ 90¢$934m ago

SELLWill Apple’s market capitalization be between $5.00T and $5.50T at the end of 2026?Yes@ 25¢$536m ago

BUYWill South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Yes@ 43¢$1436m ago

BUYWill Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?No@ 74¢$4638m ago

BUYWill Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?Yes@ 26¢$3438m ago

BUYWill Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?No@ 74¢$5038m ago

SELLWill Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Yes@ 30¢$138m ago

BUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?No@ 52¢$14040m ago

BUYNetanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes@ 49¢$13240m ago

BUYWill OpenAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Yes@ 24¢$540m ago

BUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes@ 15¢$541m ago

BUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?No@ 85¢$2841m ago

BUYWill there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?No@ 76¢$2043m ago

BUYWill SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes@ 21¢$443m ago

BUYWill SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 80¢$1643m ago

BUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?Yes@ 15¢$345m ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No@ 70¢$7045m ago

BUYWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 3%-6%?No@ 86¢$1745m ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?No@ 70¢$1446m ago

BUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes@ 30¢$3646m ago

BUYWill ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?No@ 84¢$5847m ago

BUYWill ByteDance have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes@ 17¢$1247m ago

BUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?Yes@ 54¢$1549m ago

BUYWill Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%?No@ 46¢$949m ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No@ 61¢$2953m ago

BUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes@ 40¢$1953m ago

SELLAnother GTA VI trailer released by September 30?No@ 93¢$4753m ago

SELLWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes@ 57¢$754m ago

SELLWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes@ 57¢$254m ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes@ 4¢$1254m ago

BUYWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No@ 96¢$28554m ago

SELLWill no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes@ 57¢$1055m ago

SELLWill Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?Yes@ 49¢$155m ago

SELLWill the Fed Hike–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 20¢$456m ago

BUYWill Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?Yes@ 43¢$957m ago

BUYWill Kevin Cash win the 2026 AL Manager of the Year?No@ 58¢$1257m ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Italy by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 0¢$057m ago

SELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE by September 30, 2026?Yes@ 0¢$057m ago

BUYWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No@ 44¢$10759m ago

BUYWill Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Yes@ 56¢$13459m ago

BUYWill SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No@ 61¢$5291h ago

BUYWill exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?No@ 75¢$411h ago

BUYWill exactly 2 Israeli legislative elections occur before a government is formed?Yes@ 25¢$141h ago

BUYWill Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?No@ 65¢$291h ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No@ 91¢$611h ago

BUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 10¢$71h ago

SELLWill Steven Snell win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?No@ 35¢$161h ago

SELLWill Raphinha score the most goals in the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League?Yes@ 14¢$111h ago

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