macrosteaks 0xefac…c9a1

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x1929…d215(contract/relayer)

Sharp Score

45.9

Win Rate

63.6%

PnL 90d

−$23.1K

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)35 × 25%

Win Rate62 × 15%

Sizing Discipline29 × 15%

Longevity / Activity59 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 11 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

−$23.1K

Capital Deployed

$193K

Resolved

Win Rate

63.6%

Excess Win

+20.7

Avg Entry

43¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$701 — Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?Worst: −$2.1K — Outstanding lead actress in a limited or anthology series or movie?

Open Positions

Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes94¢ → 96¢$11.1K+$203

Will New York Liberty win the 2026 WNBA Finals?No92¢ → 95¢$8.9K+$236

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No95¢ → 96¢$6.9K+$75

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No97¢ → 98¢$6.9K+$38

Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Yes89¢ → 90¢$6.7K+$33

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

BUYWill the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?Yes@ 86¢$4303h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?No@ 27¢$83h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-28 House seat?Yes@ 13¢$13h ago

BUYWill the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) be in the next Swedish government?No@ 4¢$53h ago

SELLWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Minnesota Attorney General election?Yes@ 28¢$173h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?No@ 96¢$1263h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?No@ 96¢$293h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?No@ 97¢$1063h ago

SELLWill Andrea Kaiser win the 2026 Niagara-on-the-Lake mayoral election?Yes@ 39¢$63h ago

SELLWill Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?Yes@ 53¢$64h ago

SELLWill the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?Yes@ 90¢$224h ago

SELLWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?No@ 56¢$114h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Yes@ 57¢$114h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 7¢$134h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 7¢$54h ago

BUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 4¢$194h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 7¢$14h ago

SELLWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?No@ 55¢$474h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 6¢$124h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 2¢$35h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the FL-27 House seat?Yes@ 28¢$35h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 2¢$55h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 4¢$35h ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No@ 14¢$75h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 4¢$45h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 4¢$65h ago

SELLWill New Hampshire have the closest Senate race in 2026?No@ 97¢$105h ago

BUYWill Austin Hill win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship?No@ 90¢$185h ago

SELLWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?No@ 98¢$105h ago

SELLWill the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Isaias?No@ 99¢$105h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes@ 65¢$185h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-17 House seat?Yes@ 32¢$105h ago

BUYWill Ewa Pajor win the 2026 Women's Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 8¢$75h ago

SELLWill Eduardo Rodriguez lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?No@ 100¢$75h ago

BUYWill the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win the 2026 Japan Series?No@ 88¢$355h ago

BUYWill Andy Burnham say "Reform" during the next PMQ?Yes@ 4¢$45h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?No@ 71¢$1365h ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No@ 15¢$45h ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No@ 15¢$225h ago

SELLWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?No@ 15¢$45h ago

BUYWill Uzbekistan win the 46th FIDE Chess Olympiad Open Tournament?Yes@ 29¢$95h ago

SELLWill Aisha Wahab win the CA-14 House seat?No@ 24¢$25h ago

SELLWill SDS win the third most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 100¢$155h ago

BUYWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes@ 47¢$145h ago

SELLWill Eduardo Rodriguez lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?No@ 99¢$135h ago

BUYWill Nene Royal win AGT Season 21?No@ 16¢$35h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes@ 79¢$1785h ago

BUYWill Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?Yes@ 18¢$45h ago

SELLWill Alaska have the closest Senate race in 2026?No@ 92¢$95h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat?Yes@ 71¢$395h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the GA-11 House seat?No@ 98¢$2556h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?No@ 71¢$2786h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?No@ 71¢$406h ago

BUYWill Scott Gillingham win the 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election?Yes@ 42¢$46h ago

BUYWill the Yokohama DeNA BayStars win the 2026 Japan Series?No@ 86¢$176h ago

BUYWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes@ 45¢$96h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$536h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$1386h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$456h ago

BUYWill Brenda Locke win the 2026 Surrey mayoral election?No@ 28¢$66h ago

SELLWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No@ 51¢$166h ago

BUYWill the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat?Yes@ 57¢$116h ago

SELLWill the Democratic Party win the PA-07 House seat?Yes@ 80¢$86h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$226h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$1586h ago

BUYWill Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes@ 4¢$196h ago

SELLWill the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Lieutenant Governor election?Yes@ 59¢$36h ago

BUYWill Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?No@ 81¢$176h ago

SELLWill the Republican Party and Democratic Party hold the same number of governorships after the midterms?No@ 90¢$96h ago

BUYWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes@ 45¢$96h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?Yes@ 91¢$56h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$96h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?Yes@ 91¢$56h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$96h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes@ 79¢$326h ago

SELLWill the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?Yes@ 80¢$906h ago

SELLWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No@ 51¢$46h ago

BUYWill the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Yes@ 20¢$26h ago

BUYWill the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?Yes@ 91¢$96h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$226h ago

BUYWill three people dissent the October Fed decision?No@ 88¢$86h ago

SELLWill the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?No@ 79¢$226h ago

SELLWill CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?No@ 66¢$206h ago

BUYWill SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 89¢$1956h ago

SELLWill Montana have the closest Senate race in 2026?No@ 99¢$106h ago

BUYWill SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 90¢$686h ago

BUYWill three people dissent the October Fed decision?No@ 87¢$116h ago

BUYWill SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 90¢$686h ago

BUYWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes@ 45¢$66h ago

BUYWill SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 90¢$686h ago

BUYWill three people dissent the October Fed decision?No@ 88¢$86h ago

BUYWill SDP BiH win the second most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?No@ 90¢$456h ago

BUYWill Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?No@ 52¢$996h ago

BUYWill three people dissent the October Fed decision?No@ 84¢$177h ago

BUYWill Kaden Honeycutt win the 2026 NASCAR Craftsman Truck Series championship?Yes@ 16¢$37h ago

BUYWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes@ 45¢$77h ago

SELLWill CAQ finish in third place in the Quebec general election?No@ 65¢$137h ago

BUYWill no one dissent the October Fed decision?Yes@ 36¢$77h ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

40Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?YES @ 40¢$1,93330d ago

23Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open?NO @ 91¢$65437d ago

14UFC Fight Night: Henrique da Silva Lopes vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)HENRIQUE DA SILVA LOPES @ 51¢$56145d ago

47Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?YES @ 52¢$6,03762d ago

Not investment advice.