ndb1 0xfea3…d227

View on Polymarket ↗

funded by 0x343f…4058

Sharp Score

54.5

Win Rate

47.9%

PnL 90d

+$2.4M

Avg CLV

—

Resolved Trades

Why this score

Closing Line Value50 × 35%

Realized PnL (90d)88 × 25%

Win Rate51 × 15%

Sizing Discipline12 × 15%

Longevity / Activity56 × 10%

Components shrunk toward 50 by sample size (n = 48 resolved) — small samples can't produce extreme scores.

Realized PnL 90d

+$2.4M

Capital Deployed

$38.2M

Resolved

Win Rate

47.9%

Excess Win

+4.0

Avg Entry

44¢

Cumulative Realized PnL · 90d

Best: +$100K — Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?Worst: −$2.9K — Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Open Positions

Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?No71¢ → 70¢$260K−$4.5K

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No96¢ → 99¢$87.6K+$3.1K

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?No86¢ → 94¢$84.7K+$7.6K

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?No90¢ → 98¢$84K+$6.7K

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No76¢ → 92¢$50.6K+$8.7K

Funding · 90d

No deposits or withdrawals in the window.

All Fills · 90d

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$01h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 52¢$131h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$11h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$22h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 48¢$142h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 47¢$32h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 47¢$132h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 48¢$92h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 47¢$12h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 48¢$102h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Bears and Lions end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 48¢$62h ago

SELLWill the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 58¢$1352h ago

SELLWill the season series between the Browns and Steelers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 71¢$5332h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$84h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$54h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$614h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$4104h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$245h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$45h ago

BUYWill Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?No@ 59¢$135h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$25h ago

BUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 76¢$45h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$2735h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$37h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$28h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$348h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$318h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$28h ago

BUYWill the Jets win the season series against the Patriots during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 83¢$139h ago

BUYWill the Jets win the season series against the Patriots during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 83¢$49h ago

BUYWill the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 34¢$249h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$210h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$010h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$210h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$16310h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$2110h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$212h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 52¢$312h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$112h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$312h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$1212h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$513h ago

BUYWill Sonny Gray lead MLB in pitcher wins for the 2026 season?Yes@ 53¢$613h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$214h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo@ 41¢$314h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$216h ago

BUYWill New York Yankees win the 2026 American League Championship Series?Yes@ 23¢$116h ago

BUYWill Jannik Sinner be Number 1 on the End of Year ATP RankingsNo@ 39¢$817h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$218h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 61¢$2619h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 17¢$5119h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 17¢$11919h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 17¢$10819h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 17¢$1419h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Yes@ 17¢$219h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$1119h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$819h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$1119h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$819h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$319h ago

BUYWill the Jaguars win the season series against the Titans during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 53¢$1219h ago

BUYWill the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?No@ 61¢$719h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$220h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$3321h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$421h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$321h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$222h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes@ 29¢$63722h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$22022h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$18522h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$27822h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$18722h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$42722h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$12122h ago

BUY2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes@ 29¢$32622h ago

SELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes@ 61¢$18,06122h ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$11d ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$41d ago

BUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?No@ 54¢$117,3911d ago

BUYWill Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?No@ 77¢$3471d ago

BUYWill the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 41¢$21d ago

BUYWill the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 41¢$61d ago

BUYWill Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?No@ 78¢$391d ago

BUYWill Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?No@ 78¢$71d ago

BUYWill Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?No@ 78¢$231d ago

BUYWill Miami (FL) have an undefeated CFB regular season?No@ 78¢$141d ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$21d ago

BUYWill Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?Yes@ 49¢$1,5771d ago

BUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 76¢$31d ago

BUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Yes@ 17¢$01d ago

BUYWill the Seahawks win the season series against the Rams during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 76¢$41d ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$61d ago

BUYTampa Bay Rays vs. New York YankeesTampa Bay Rays@ 42¢$21d ago

BUYWill the season series between the Cowboys and Eagles end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?No@ 41¢$81d ago

LOADING 90-DAY POLYMARKET HISTORY…

Prints on Our Tape

30Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$8064d ago

25Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$5844d ago

31Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$8164d ago

45Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$3,9004d ago

58Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$16,304Outlier size4d ago

45Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$3,6294d ago

39Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,6574d ago

35Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,2044d ago

25Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to ScoreNO @ 32¢$5734d ago

41Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,9494d ago

46Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$5,2244d ago

38Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,4884d ago

37Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,3824d ago

33Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,0304d ago

45Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$3,4424d ago

41Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,9344d ago

40Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,6624d ago

31Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$8604d ago

43Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$2,6304d ago

38Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$1,5764d ago

57Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 57¢$11,288Outlier size4d ago

56Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 51¢$52,041Outlier size20d ago

46Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 51¢$21,21620d ago

56Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta BravesATLANTA BRAVES @ 51¢$52,041Outlier size20d ago

30Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5UNDER @ 46¢$78222d ago

Not investment advice.